Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

The Washington Commanders (10-5) will be trying to continue a three-game winning run against the Atlanta Falcons (8-7). The Commanders are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Parkins' Picks for Week 17: Dolphins, Falcons, Packers cover | Breakfast Ball

Danny Parkins makes his predictions for Week 17, including the Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers covering the spread.

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Commanders (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (46)
  
• Prediction: Commanders 29 - Falcons 20

How to Watch Washington vs. Atlanta

• Game Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Venue: Commanders Field
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: NBC
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Lions vs. 49ers Prediction

Commanders vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Washington has totaled three wins versus Atlanta.
• Washington has been outscored by 12 points in its last five tilts versus Atlanta.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has nine wins in 15 games versus the spread this year.
• The Commanders have covered the spread four times this season (4-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Washington contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 66.7% of the time (10 times in 15 games with a set point total).
• The Commanders have won 77.8% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (7-2).
• The Commanders have a 63.6% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Jayden Daniels has 3,303 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 220.2 per game with a 69.7% completion percentage and 22 touchdowns against eight interceptions.
• He has tacked on 737 rushing yards (49.1 per game) and six touchdowns on the ground.
• Terry McLaurin has caught 73 passes on 98 targets for 1,029 total yards and 12 touchdowns. He is averaging 4.9 catches and 68.6 yards per game through 15 games.
• In 12 games, Brian Robinson Jr. has picked up 729 yards on the ground, averaging 60.8 yards per game and scoring eight touchdowns.
• Robinson has 17 catches on 22 targets for 144 yards, though he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
• Zach Ertz averages 3.7 receptions and 35.9 yards per game, and has 538 total receiving yards and 55 catches. He's gotten 79 total targets, and has caught four touchdown passes.

Defense

• Over on defense, Frankie Luvu has 89 tackles, 11 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception in 2024.
• Bobby Wagner has 118 tackles, eight TFL, and two sacks this season.
• Jeremy Chinn has put up 90 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
• This season, Mike Sainristil has 77 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has put together a 6-8-1 record against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been underdogs by 3 points or more three times this season and covered the spread once.
• Games involving Atlanta have hit the over on five occasions this season.
• This season, the Falcons have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Falcons.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• This year in 15 games, Bijan Robinson has racked up 1,196 rushing yards (leading the Falcons and fifth in the NFL) and scored 10 rushing touchdowns. He averages 79.7 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (16th in the NFL).
• Bijan Robinson's offensive contributions include 55 receptions (3.7 per game) on 61 targets for 414 yards (27.6 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Kirk Cousins has 3,508 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. His completion percentage is 66.9% and he averages 250.6 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
• This season, Drake London has caught 83 passes for 978 receiving yards with seven touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 127 total times and is averaging 5.5 receptions per game in 15 games played.
• Darnell Mooney has been targeted 102 times, resulting in 63 catches for 961 yards .

Defense

• In 2024, Kaden Elliss has recorded five sacks to go with eight TFL and 130 tackles over 15 games.
• Jessie Bates III has one TFL, 85 tackles, and four interceptions.
• Dee Alford has recorded one sack as well as one TFL and 68 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
• A.J. Terrell's stats include two interceptions as well as 61 tackles, two TFL, and five passes defended in 13 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Washington Commanders

Atlanta Falcons