Thunder vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

Thunder vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 25

Updated Jan. 25, 2026 3:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Toronto Raptors (28-19) will try to extend a three-game road winning run at the Oklahoma City Thunder (37-9) on January 25, 2026. Sunday's game between the Thunder and the Raptors sees the Thunder as a double-digit favorite by 11.5 points. The game has a point total of 224.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Raptors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Raptors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: FDSOK and TSN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Raptors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -11.5 -108 -112 224.5 -114 -106 -549 +410

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Thunder vs. Raptors Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 11.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Raptors 108

Thunder vs. Raptors Betting Insights

  • This season, the Thunder games have finished over 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 26 (out of 46) times.
  • This season, 24 of the Raptors' 47 total matchups have gone over 224.5 total points scored.
  • The Thunder and the Raptors combine to average 11.1 more points per game than the total of 224.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 220.2 points per game, 4.3 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 46 games this season and has come away with the win 37 times (80.4%) in those contests.
  • Toronto has been an underdog in 20 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (55%) in those contests.
  • After the last two head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 2-0 record against Toronto.
  • Both the Thunder and the Raptors have 1-1 records against the spread in those outings.
  • In their past three games the Raptors have covered the point spread, and they were favored in two of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 230.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.1 greater than this matchup's over/under of 224.5.
  • The Thunder have 23 wins against the spread in 46 games this year.
  • Oklahoma City is 15-10 ATS when favored by 11.5 points or more this season.
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over 25 times in 47 opportunities (53.2%).
  • The Thunder score 9.1 more points per game (121.3) than the Raptors give up (112.2).
  • Oklahoma City is 22-14 against the spread and 33-3 overall when scoring more than 112.2 points.
  • The Thunder are shooting 49.3% from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Raptors allow to opponents.
  • In home games, the Thunder sport an identical winning percentage against the spread as they do in road games (.500).
  • Oklahoma City has exceeded the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in 13 of 24 home matchups (54.2%). On the road, it has hit the over in 12 of 22 games (54.5%).
  • The Thunder have fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 20-4, compared to going 17-5 in away games.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 121.3 1
Points Allowed 108 1
Rebounds 43.7 17
Assists 25.5 17
Steals 10 3
Blocks 5.9 4

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.3 points, 4.4 boards and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 55.7% from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Chet Holmgren puts up 18 points, 8.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2 blocks (third in NBA).
  • Cason Wallace puts up 7.4 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.2% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Luguentz Dort puts up 8.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.
  • Aaron Wiggins averages 10.4 points, 1.7 assists and 3.4 boards.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32.5 -122 32.3
Chet Holmgren 18.5 -128 18
Aaron Wiggins 12.5 -104 10.4
Isaiah Joe 11.5 -110 9.5
Luguentz Dort 10.5 +102 8.4

Raptors Recent Trends

  • The Raptors are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Toronto's average total over the last 10 games is 1.5 points fewer than the 224.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • In the Raptors' 47 games this season, they have 24 wins against the spread.
  • Raptors games this season have gone over the point total 19 times in 47 opportunities (40.4%).
  • The Raptors average 6.3 more points per game (114.3) than the Thunder allow their opponents to score (108).
  • Toronto has put together a 22-12 ATS record and a 24-10 overall record in games it scores more than 108 points.
  • The Raptors are shooting 47.3% from the field, 4.1% higher than the 43.2% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
  • The Raptors have been better against the spread on the road (15-9-0) than at home (9-14-0) this season.
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Toronto's games have finished above the over/under at home (43.5%, 10 of 23) than away (37.5%, nine of 24).
  • The Raptors' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .625 (10-6), and on the road it is .636 (7-4).

Raptors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.3 23
Points Allowed 112.2 6
Rebounds 43.1 20
Assists 29.6 4
Steals 8.4 13
Blocks 4.6 18

Raptors Leaders

  • Scottie Barnes provides 19.7 points, 8.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game for the Raptors.
  • On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gets the Raptors 21.7 points, 6 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • Immanuel Quickley gets the Raptors 17 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game while putting up 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili is putting up 11.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He is draining 53% of his shots from the field and 38% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.
  • The Raptors are receiving 7.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Jamal Shead this year.

Raptors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Brandon Ingram 19.5 -122 21.7
Scottie Barnes 17.5 -122 19.7
Immanuel Quickley 15.5 -122 17
RJ Barrett 13.5 -104 19.2
Collin Murray-Boyles 9.5 -112 7.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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