Thunder vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 28

The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) hope to continue a four-game winning stretch when they host the Sacramento Kings (1-2) on October 28, 2025 at Paycom Center. Tuesday's matchup between the Thunder and the Kings features the Thunder as healthy 9.5-point favorites. The over/under is 227.5 points for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: FDSOK and NBCS-CA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Thunder vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Kings 111

Thunder vs. Kings Betting Insights

• The Thunder's 82 games last season went over this contest's total of 227.5 points 44 times.
• The Kings played 44 games last season that had more than 227.5 combined points scored.
• The two teams combined to score 236.2 points per game last season, 8.7 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams combined to score 222.9 points per game last year, 4.6 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• Thunder matchups last season had an average total of 227.4, 0.1 more points than this game's over/under.
• Kings outings last year had a 229.4-point average over/under, 1.9 more points than this game's total.

Thunder Recent Trends

• Oklahoma City put together a 54-26-2 ATS record last year.
• Oklahoma City was favored by 9.5 points or more 42 times last season, and covered the spread in 27 of those games.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 44 times in Oklahoma City's games.
• Last year, the Thunder put up 120.5 points per game, 5.2 more points than the 115.3 the Kings allowed.
• Oklahoma City had a 40-14 record against the spread and a 47-7 record overall last season when putting up more than 115.3 points.
• Last season, the Thunder had a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which was 0.8% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Kings' opponents made.
• Against the spread last season, the Thunder performed better at home, covering 29 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
• Oklahoma City went over the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%) last year, compared to 19 of 40 road games (47.5%).
• The Thunder won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last year, going 35-6 (.854). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they sported a record of 30-7 (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers last season were 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. He also sank 51.9% of his shots from the floor and 37.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.1 triples.
• Jalen Williams' numbers last season were 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He made 48.4% of his shots from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.8 treys.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's stats last season included 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. He drained 58.1% of his shots from the floor.
• Aaron Wiggins put up 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists. He drained 48.8% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 treys per game.
• Luguentz Dort put up 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists. He made 43.5% of his shots from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings compiled a 35-44-3 record against the spread last season.
• Sacramento had two wins ATS (2-1) as a 9.5-point underdog or more last year.
• Last season, 44 of the Kings' games went over the point total.
• The Kings put up an average of 115.7 points per game last year, 8.1 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allowed.
• When it scored more than 107.6 points last season, Sacramento went 34-28-3 against the spread and 40-25 overall.
• The Kings' 47.8% shooting percentage from the field last season was 4.2 percentage points higher than the Thunder allowed to their opponents (43.6%).
• The Kings' winning percentage against the spread at home was .366 (15-25-1) last year. Away, it was .488 (20-19-2).
• Sacramento's games went above the over/under more frequently at home (24 times out of 41) than on the road (20 of 41) last season.
• The Kings, when moneyline favorites, won a higher percentage of games at home (19-12) than on the road (12-10) last year.

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• Zach LaVine averaged 23.3 points per contest to go with 4.3 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game last season.
• Domantas Sabonis grabbed 13.9 rebounds per game, while Russell Westbrook notched 6.1 assists per contest.
• LaVine knocked down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest a season ago.
• Keon Ellis averaged 1.5 steals per game, while Keegan Murray collected 0.9 blocks per contest.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Sacramento Kings