Hornets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

Hornets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

Updated Jan. 29, 2026 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Charlotte Hornets (20-28) will try to continue a three-game road winning streak when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (19-28) on January 29, 2026 at American Airlines Center. Thursday's matchup between the Hornets and the Mavericks features the Hornets as 3.5-point favorites. The point total for the game is 226.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Hornets-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Hornets vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: FDSSE, KFAA, and WSOC 9
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Hornets vs Mavericks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Hornets -3.5 -106 -114 226.5 -114 -106 -144 +124

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Hornets vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 3.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Hornets 116 - Mavericks 115

Hornets vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Hornets games have finished over 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 28 (out of 48) times.
  • The Mavericks games have gone over 226.5 total points scored in 26 of 47 total matchups this season.
  • These two teams average 230.3 points per game combined, 3.8 more than the total of 226.5.
  • The Hornets and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 4.7 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set in this matchup.
  • Charlotte has been chosen as the favorite in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (70%) in those games.
  • Dallas has been victorious in 11, or 36.7%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • After the last two head-to-head matchups, Charlotte and Dallas have a tied 1-1 record.
  • The Hornets have a 2-0 advantage against the spread when facing off with the Mavericks.

Hornets Recent Trends

  • The Hornets are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Charlotte has averaged a total of 231.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 5.3 greater than this game's total of 226.5.
  • The Hornets have 28 wins against the spread in 48 games this year.
  • Charlotte has been favored by 3.5 points or more six times this season and are 3-3 ATS in those matchups.
  • The Hornets have hit the over in 40.4% of their opportunities this year (19 times in 47 games with a set point total).
  • The Hornets record only 0.4 fewer points per game (116.2) than the Mavericks give up (116.6).
  • Charlotte has an 18-5 record against the spread and a 15-8 record overall when scoring more than 116.6 points.
  • This season, the Hornets have a 46.4% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.2% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have knocked down.
  • When playing at home, the Hornets own a worse record against the spread (12-10-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (16-10-0).
  • At home, Charlotte goes over the total 36.4% of the time (eight of 22 games). It hits the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 42.3% of games (11 of 26).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Hornets have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.800) compared to away games (.600).

Hornets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.2 16
Points Allowed 114.6 12
Rebounds 45.7 8
Assists 26.7 10
Steals 6.8 30
Blocks 4.5 20

Hornets Leaders

  • Miles Bridges averages 18.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Kon Knueppel averages 18.6 points, 3.6 assists and 5.4 boards per game.
  • LaMelo Ball puts up 19 points, 4.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists per contest, shooting 40.6% from the field and 36.3% from downtown with 3.3 made treys per contest (seventh in NBA).
  • Moussa Diabate averages 8.4 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1 block.
  • Brandon Miller averages 20.5 points, 4.4 boards and 3.5 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocks.

Hornets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Brandon Miller 20.5 -113 20.5
Kon Knueppel 17.5 +102 18.6
LaMelo Ball 17.5 +100 19
Miles Bridges 16.5 -113 18.6
Collin Sexton 11.5 -125 14.4

Mavericks Recent Trends

  • The Mavericks have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.9 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Mavericks are 20-26-1 against the spread this season.
  • Dallas has an against the spread record of 15-9 in its 24 games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more this year.
  • Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total 22 times in 47 opportunities (46.8%).
  • The Mavericks' 114.1 points per game are only 0.5 fewer points than the 114.6 the Hornets give up to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 114.6 points, Dallas is 10-6-1 against the spread and 12-5 overall.
  • The Mavericks have shot at a 47.2% clip from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points below the 47.5% shooting opponents of the Hornets have averaged.
  • The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .519 (14-12-1). On the road, it is .300 (6-14-0).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Dallas' games have finished above the over/under at home (48.1%, 13 of 27) than on the road (45%, nine of 20).
  • This year the Mavericks are 6-5 at home as moneyline favorites (.545 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-4 (.333).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.1 22
Points Allowed 116.6 21
Rebounds 45 10
Assists 25.3 19
Steals 7.7 23
Blocks 5.6 5

Mavericks Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gives the Mavericks 18.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • The Mavericks are getting 14.3 points, 7.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from P.J. Washington this season.
  • Max Christie is averaging 13.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is draining 47.6% of his shots from the floor and 44.5% from beyond the arc (sixth in NBA), with 2.6 triples per contest.
  • The Mavericks are getting 12.5 points, 3 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Brandon Williams this season.
  • Klay Thompson is averaging 11.7 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is sinking 38.9% of his shots from the floor and 38% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 triples per contest.

Mavericks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Cooper Flagg 19.5 -128 18.8
Naji Marshall 17.5 -102 14.7
P.J. Washington 15.5 -113 14.3
Brandon Williams 14.5 -108 12.5
Max Christie 14.5 -125 13.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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