
Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 1
The Milwaukee Brewers and William Contreras will hit the field against the Philadelphia Phillies and Trea Turner on Monday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at American Family Field. The Brewers are -154 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Phillies (+129). Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup.
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX
Brewers vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 1, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to watch on TV: FDSWI and NBCS-PH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -154 | +129 | 8.5 | -115 | -105 | -1.5 | +136 | -163 |
Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Phillies 44%
Brewers vs. Phillies Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 50, or 65.8%, of those games.
- This season Milwaukee has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- The Phillies have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (40%) in those contests.
- This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and finished 3-5 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Brewers are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Brewers Player Insights
- Christian Yelich paces the Brewers with 27 home runs and 92 runs batted in.
- Including all MLB hitters, Yelich ranks 44th in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
- Yelich brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .235 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
- Contreras is batting .259 with 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 75 walks.
- Contreras is 88th in home runs and 56th in RBI on the season.
- Brice Turang has 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .287.
- Jackson Chourio has 31 doubles, four triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks while batting .284.
- Chourio brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .526 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Blake Perkins | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
- The Phillies have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (49) and runs batted in (119).
- In all of the big leagues, Schwarber is second in homers and first in RBI.
- Turner's .300 batting average leads his team.
- Turner ranks 125th in home runs and 70th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Bryce Harper is batting .267 with 29 doubles, 22 home runs and 56 walks.
- Bryson Stott is batting .246 with 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 46 walks.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+210) |
| Taijuan Walker | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Castellanos | - | - | - | - |
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
4 Takeaways From the World Baseball Classic Roster Announcements
Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Salary Arbitration Case, Will Be Paid Record $32M
World Baseball Classic Power Rankings: Who Joins USA, Japan As Favorites?
What’s Next: Tigers Make Splash With Framber Valdez As Tarik Skubal Decision Looms
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Yankees Re-Sign Paul Goldschmidt
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Record Arbitration
2026 World Baseball Classic Odds: USA, Japan Top Board as Favorites
World Baseball Classic: Who Is On Team USA's Roster?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates
4 Takeaways From the World Baseball Classic Roster Announcements
Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Salary Arbitration Case, Will Be Paid Record $32M
World Baseball Classic Power Rankings: Who Joins USA, Japan As Favorites?
What’s Next: Tigers Make Splash With Framber Valdez As Tarik Skubal Decision Looms
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Yankees Re-Sign Paul Goldschmidt
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Record Arbitration
2026 World Baseball Classic Odds: USA, Japan Top Board as Favorites
World Baseball Classic: Who Is On Team USA's Roster?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates

