Brewers vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Brice Turang and the Milwaukee Brewers take the field against Isaac Paredes and the Houston Astros at American Family Field on Monday, at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Brewers are favored in this one, at -114, while the underdog Astros have -105 odds to upset. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: FDSWI and SCHN

Brewers vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Astros 48%

Brewers vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Brewers have won 12, or 70.6%, of the 17 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee has a record of 12-5, a 70.6% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Brewers have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Astros have been victorious in five of the nine contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Houston has won five of eight games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have a 2-1 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Brewers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Jackson Chourio leads the Brewers in home runs (six) and runs batted in (24).
• Of all hitters in baseball, Chourio ranks 41st in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Chourio has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .095 with a double.
• Turang has a club-best .315 batting average.
• Including all MLB batters, Turang ranks 129th in home runs and 77th in RBI.
• William Contreras has two doubles, three home runs and 22 walks while batting .248.
• Sal Frelick is batting .297 with five doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Astros as underdogs once.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Astros have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jeremy Pena has a team-best batting average of .282, while leading the Astros in long balls with four.
• Pena's home run total puts him 89th in the majors, and he is 146th in RBI.
• Pena has collected a hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .341 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Paredes' four home runs pace his team.
• Paredes ranks 89th overall in home runs and 103rd in RBI this year.
• Jose Altuve has four home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jake Meyers is batting .303 with five doubles, a triple, two home runs and eight walks.

Astros Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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