Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Toronto Blue Jays and George Springer will take the field against the Houston Astros and Jeremy Pena at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, with the first pitch at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Astros are +129 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Blue Jays (-154). Toronto is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to watch on TV: SNET and SCHN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Blue Jays -154 +129 8.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +133 -159

Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 55%, Astros 45%

Blue Jays vs. Astros Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 41, or 58.6%, of the 70 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Toronto has won 21 of its 29 games, or 72.4%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • The Astros have won in 28, or 56%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Houston has a mark of 7-2 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 43.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays went 3-2 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Blue Jays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 13
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.9

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 33 doubles, 23 home runs and 76 walks while batting .304.
  • Guerrero is 47th in homers and 35th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Guerrero takes a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .439 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and seven RBIs.
  • Springer has hit 28 home runs to pace his team.
  • Springer is 21st in homers and 52nd in RBI on the season.
  • Springer heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBIs.
  • Ernie Clement is hitting .275 with 28 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 24 walks.
  • Clement is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk has 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .291.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nathan Lukes 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+116) - 0.5 (+182)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-214) 1.5 (+159) - 0.5 (+232)
Daulton Varsho 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+103) - 0.5 (+121)
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 (-251) 1.5 (+133) - 0.5 (+173)
Addison Barger 0.5 (-198) 1.5 (+141) - 0.5 (+166)

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Astros and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Astros have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 4.05
K/9 10.1

Astros Player Insights

  • Jose Altuve has swatted a team-high 24 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Altuve's home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally is 67th.
  • Pena has a club-leading .303 batting average.
  • Pena is currently 125th in home runs and 126th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Yainer Diaz has 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 20 walks while batting .254.
  • Carlos Correa has 24 doubles, 12 home runs and 38 walks while batting .274.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-209) 1.5 (+146) - 0.5 (+206)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+154)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-254) 1.5 (+124) - 0.5 (+188)
Yordan Alvarez 1.5 (+203) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+137)
Jeremy Pena 1.5 (+177) 1.5 (+109) - 0.5 (+219)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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