Texas vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Texas Longhorns (3-2) and the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (5-0) square off for the Red River Showdown on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at the Cotton Bowl. The Longhorns are only 2.5-point favorites. A total of 44.5 points has been set for this game.

In their last action, the Longhorns lost versus the Florida Gators, 29-21. Against the Kent State Golden Flashes in their last contest, the Sooners won 44-0.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Texas vs. Oklahoma Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas
TV: ABC
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas vs Oklahoma Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas	-2.5 (-112)	-136	+114	44.5	-109	-111

Texas vs. Oklahoma Prediction

Pick ATS: Oklahoma (+2.5)
Pick OU: Under (44.5)
Prediction: Oklahoma 30, Texas 12

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Oklahoma Sooners game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Oklahoma Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Longhorns 24, Sooners 21.
The Longhorns have a 57.6% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Sooners hold a 46.7% implied probability.
Texas has a record of just 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
Oklahoma is 3-2-0 ATS this season.

Texas vs. Oklahoma: Head-to-Head

In their past four matchups, Oklahoma has a split 2-2 record against Texas.
The two teams have gone over the point total on two occasions while sharing a split 2-2 record in their matchups against the spread.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Texas has compiled 161 points versus Oklahoma, while giving up only 92 points.

Texas vs. Oklahoma: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas	Oklahoma
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.6 (74)	33.8 (54)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12 (5)	7.2 (2)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (54)	6 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (22)	2 (129)

Texas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Arch Manning	QB	1,151 YDS (60%) / 11 TD / 5 INT 160 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 32 RUSH YPG
Ryan Wingo	WR	17 REC / 263 YDS / 4 TD / 52.6 YPG
Parker Livingstone	WR	13 REC / 279 YDS / 3 TD / 55.8 YPG
Quintrevion Wisner	RB	91 YDS / 1 TD / 45.5 YPG / 3.8 YPC 3 REC / 22 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Anthony Hill Jr.	LB	25 TKL / 0 TFL
Ty'Anthony Smith	LB	19 TKL / 2 TFL
Jelani McDonald	DB	21 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Michael Taaffe	DB	26 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Oklahoma 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
John Mateer	QB	1,215 YDS (67.4%) / 6 TD / 3 INT 190 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 47.5 RUSH YPG
Isaiah Sategna	WR	26 REC / 359 YDS / 3 TD / 71.8 YPG
Tory Blaylock	RB	259 YDS / 3 TD / 51.8 YPG / 4.5 YPC
Deion Burks	WR	25 REC / 275 YDS / 2 TD / 55 YPG
Taylor Wein	DL	11 TKL / 5 TFL / 3.5 SACK
R Mason Thomas	DL	11 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Jayden Jackson	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
David Stone	DL	13 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK