Southern Miss vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 15, 2025

Updated Nov. 15, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Sun Belt opponents meet when the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-2) host the Texas State Bobcats (3-6) on Saturday, November 15, 2025 at M.M. Roberts Stadium. Southern Miss is favored by 2.5 points. The contest has a point total set at 65.5.

In their last action, the Golden Eagles won versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 27-21. Facing the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in their most recent contest, the Bobcats lost 42-39.

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Southern Miss vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, Mississippi
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Southern Miss vs Texas State Betting Information updated as of November 15, 2025, 2:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Southern Miss	-2.5 (-121)	-150	+126	65.5	-108	-112

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Southern Miss vs. Texas State Prediction

Pick ATS: Southern Miss (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (65.5)
Prediction: Southern Miss 39, Texas State 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!

Southern Miss vs. Texas State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Golden Eagles 34, Bobcats 32.
The Golden Eagles have a 60.0% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats hold a 44.2% implied probability.
Southern Miss has put together a 5-3-1 record against the spread this season.
Texas State has won just two games against the spread this season.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State: Head-to-Head

Texas State holds a 2-1 record against Southern Miss in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Bobcats have matched up against the Golden Eagles, they have put up a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on two occasions.
Southern Miss has been outscored by 63 points in its last three tilts against Texas State.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Southern Miss	Texas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.3 (53)	34.7 (31)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.2 (60)	34.8 (125)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (23)	13 (85)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	25 (2)	5 (132)

Southern Miss 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Braylon Braxton	QB	2,186 YDS (67.3%) / 19 TD / 5 INT 220 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 24.4 RUSH YPG
Jeffery Pittman	RB	494 YDS / 6 TD / 70.6 YPG / 4.4 YPC 15 REC / 70 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.7 REC YPG
Matt Jones	RB	273 YDS / 4 TD / 30.3 YPG / 4 YPC 10 REC / 86 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.8 REC YPG
Carl Chester	WR	20 REC / 351 YDS / 4 TD / 39 YPG
Chris Jones	LB	50 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Michael Montgomery	LB	49 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT
J'Mond Tapp	DL	36 TKL / 6 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Ian Foster	DB	26 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT

Texas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brad Jackson	QB	2,376 YDS (69.2%) / 13 TD / 6 INT 442 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 49.1 RUSH YPG
Lincoln Pare	RB	737 YDS / 10 TD / 81.9 YPG / 5.3 YPC 26 REC / 223 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 24.8 REC YPG
Beau Sparks	WR	61 REC / 927 YDS / 7 TD / 103 YPG
Chris Dawn Jr.	WR	34 REC / 600 YDS / 1 TD / 75 YPG
Treylin Payne	LB	73 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Bobby Crosby	DB	46 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Kalil Alexander	DL	32 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK
Ryan Nolan	DB	52 TKL / 0 TFL