San Diego State vs. Nevada Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

MWC opponents meet when the San Diego State Aztecs (4-1) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-4) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Mackay Stadium. San Diego State is favored by 6.5 points. A 42.5-point over/under is set for the game.

The Aztecs won against the Colorado State Rams in their most recent game, 45-24. The Wolf Pack lost versus the Fresno State Bulldogs in their most recent game, 20-17.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

San Diego State vs. Nevada Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

San Diego State vs Nevada Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
San Diego State	-6.5 (-113)	-248	+202	42.5	-109	-111

San Diego State vs. Nevada Prediction

Pick ATS: San Diego State (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (42.5)
Prediction: San Diego State 33, Nevada 8

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack game on FOX Sports!

San Diego State vs. Nevada Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Aztecs 24, Wolf Pack 18.
The Aztecs have a 71.3% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Wolf Pack have a 33.1% implied probability.
San Diego State has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
Nevada has won two games against the spread this season.

San Diego State vs. Nevada: Head-to-Head

San Diego State owns a 2-1 record against Nevada in their last three matchups.
In those matchups versus San Diego State, the Wolf Pack have covered two times while never going over the point total.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, San Diego State has racked up 46 points against Nevada, while giving up only 34 points.

San Diego State vs. Nevada: 2025 Stats Comparison

	San Diego State	Nevada
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28 (91)	15.4 (133)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.6 (6)	25.6 (61)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (4)	14 (134)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	4 (113)	5 (95)

San Diego State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Lucky Sutton	RB	450 YDS / 5 TD / 90 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Jordan Napier	WR	32 REC / 446 YDS / 2 TD / 89.2 YPG
Jayden Denegal	QB	895 YDS (63.3%) / 5 TD / 2 INT 17 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 3.4 RUSH YPG
Christian Washington	RB	147 YDS / 2 TD / 29.4 YPG / 3.8 YPC
Owen Chambliss	LB	36 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Chris Johnson	DB	24 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Trey White	DL	17 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Dalesean Staley	DB	18 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Nevada 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Chubba Purdy	QB	494 YDS (51.9%) / 1 TD / 8 INT 292 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 58.4 RUSH YPG
Caleb Ramseur	RB	236 YDS / 0 TD / 47.2 YPG / 4.9 YPC 6 REC / 51 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17 REC YPG
Marcus Bellon	WR	15 REC / 193 YDS / 1 TD / 38.6 YPG
Ky Woods	RB	73 YDS / 0 TD / 18.3 YPG / 9.1 YPC 2 REC / 59 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.7 REC YPG
Dylan Labarbera	DL	21 TKL / 7 TFL / 4 SACK
Jonathan Maldonado	DL	11 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT
Murvin Kenion III	DB	12 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Nelson Ropati	DL	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK