North Texas vs. UTSA Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18, 2025

Updated Oct. 18, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers give the North Texas Mean Green (5-1) the edge when they host the UTSA Roadrunners (3-3) on Saturday, October 18, 2025 in a matchup between AAC opponents at DATCU Stadium. North Texas is favored by 4.5 points. The over/under is 64.5 in this matchup.

The Mean Green lost versus the South Florida Bulls in their most recent game, 63-36. The Roadrunners beat the Rice Owls, 61-13, in their most recent contest.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

North Texas vs. UTSA Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: DATCU Stadium in Denton, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

North Texas vs UTSA Betting Information updated as of October 18, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
North Texas	-4.5 (-105)	-186	+154	64.5	-111	-109

North Texas vs. UTSA Prediction

Pick ATS: North Texas (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (64.5)
Prediction: North Texas 38, UTSA 29

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the North Texas Mean Green vs. the UTSA Roadrunners game on FOX Sports!

North Texas vs. UTSA Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Mean Green 34, Roadrunners 30.
The Mean Green have a 65.0% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Roadrunners have a 39.4% implied probability.
North Texas has covered four times in six matchups with a spread this season.
UTSA has put together a 3-3-0 record against the spread this year.

North Texas vs. UTSA: Head-to-Head

In their last five head-to-head meetings, UTSA has won against North Texas four times.
The Mean Green and the Roadrunners have been an even matchup over their last five meetings, holding an even 2-2-1 record against the spread. In those five head-to-head matchups, the two teams have gone over the total on three occasions.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, UTSA has tallied 187 points versus North Texas, while giving up only 155 points.

North Texas vs. UTSA: 2025 Stats Comparison

	North Texas	UTSA
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	43.3 (6)	34.5 (43)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	27.2 (82)	26.8 (78)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (56)	4 (11)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	14 (2)	7 (72)

North Texas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drew Mestemaker	QB	1,573 YDS (66.7%) / 13 TD / 3 INT 65 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 10.8 RUSH YPG
Caleb Hawkins	RB	356 YDS / 7 TD / 71.2 YPG / 6.2 YPC 9 REC / 135 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 27 REC YPG
Makenzie McGill	RB	349 YDS / 5 TD / 58.2 YPG / 5 YPC
Wyatt Young	WR	20 REC / 294 YDS / 3 TD / 49 YPG
Shane Whitter	LB	42 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Trey Fields	LB	36 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Ethan Wesloski	LB	24 TKL / 4 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Will Jones II	DB	26 TKL / 1 TFL

UTSA 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Robert Henry	RB	730 YDS / 8 TD / 121.7 YPG / 7.9 YPC 14 REC / 105 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 17.5 REC YPG
Owen McCown	QB	1,221 YDS (64.1%) / 12 TD / 4 INT
Devin McCuin	WR	31 REC / 341 YDS / 4 TD / 56.8 YPG
AJ Wilson	WR	11 REC / 295 YDS / 3 TD / 49.2 YPG
Shadrach Banks	LB	43 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Nnanna Anyanwu	LB	13 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK
Kendrick Blackshire	LB	23 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Jimmy Wyrick	DB	28 TKL / 0 TFL