NC State vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The NC State Wolfpack (6-5) are 7.5-point favorites when they host the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-7) in conference play on Saturday, November 29, 2025 at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium. The over/under is 49.5.

In their most recent action, the Wolfpack won against the Florida State Seminoles, 21-11. The Tar Heels lost to the Duke Blue Devils, 32-25, in their most recent contest.

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NC State vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

NC State vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
NC State	-7.5 (-103)	-273	+223	49.5	-107	-113

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NC State vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: NC State (-7.5)
Pick OU: Over (49.5)
Prediction: NC State 34, North Carolina 16

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the NC State Wolfpack vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

NC State vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolfpack 28, Tar Heels 21.
The Wolfpack have a 73.2% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels hold a 31.0% implied probability.
NC State has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
North Carolina is 5-5-1 ATS this year.

NC State vs. North Carolina: Head-to-Head

NC State owns a 4-0 record against North Carolina in their last four matchups.
In those contests against North Carolina, the Wolfpack have covered three times while outscoring the total each time.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, NC State has compiled 138 points against North Carolina, while giving up only 107 points.

NC State vs. North Carolina: 2025 Stats Comparison

	NC State	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.1 (62)	19.3 (123)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	29.7 (99)	22.9 (48)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (51)	14 (67)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (89)	12 (89)

NC State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
CJ Bailey	QB	2,683 YDS (69.6%) / 21 TD / 9 INT 150 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 13.6 RUSH YPG
Daylan Smothers	RB	907 YDS / 6 TD / 90.7 YPG / 6.1 YPC 33 REC / 176 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.6 REC YPG
Terrell Anderson	WR	36 REC / 596 YDS / 5 TD / 54.2 YPG
Jayden Scott	RB	460 YDS / 4 TD / 41.8 YPG / 5.6 YPC 14 REC / 124 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.5 REC YPG
Caden Fordham	LB	94 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Cian Slone	LB	44 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kenny Soares Jr.	LB	53 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Ronnie Royal III	DB	39 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

North Carolina 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Gio Lopez	QB	1,629 YDS (64.9%) / 9 TD / 5 INT 141 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 14.1 RUSH YPG
Jordan Shipp	WR	52 REC / 581 YDS / 5 TD / 52.8 YPG
Demon June	RB	461 YDS / 2 TD / 46.1 YPG / 5.6 YPC 17 REC / 159 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.9 REC YPG
Davion Gause	RB	253 YDS / 3 TD / 28.1 YPG / 4.2 YPC 14 REC / 123 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 15.4 REC YPG
Melkart Abou-Jaoude	DL	33 TKL / 10 TFL / 10 SACK
Andrew Simpson	LB	49 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 1 INT
Khmori House	LB	65 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Tyler Thompson	LB	19 TKL / 5 TFL / 7 SACK