Missouri vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 27, 2025

Missouri vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 27, 2025

Updated Dec. 26, 2025 3:06 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Missouri Tigers square off against the Virginia Cavaliers in the Gator Bowl as 4-point favorites on December 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The contest has a 44.5-point over/under.

In their last game, the Tigers won against the Arkansas Razorbacks, 31-17. Facing the Duke Blue Devils in their last game, the Cavaliers lost 27-20.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Missouri vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida
  • TV: ABC
  • Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
Missouri vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of December 26, 2025, 2:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Missouri -4 (-109) -186 +155 44.5 -115 -105

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Missouri vs. Virginia Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Virginia (+4)
  • Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  • Prediction: Virginia 26, Missouri 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Missouri Tigers vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Missouri vs. Virginia Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 24, Cavaliers 20.
  • The Tigers have a 65.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers have a 39.2% implied probability.
  • Missouri has put together a 7-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Virginia is 8-5-0 ATS this season.

Missouri vs. Virginia: 2025 Stats Comparison

Missouri Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.2 (42) 32.2 (24)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 19.4 (16) 20.5 (43)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 16 (70) 13 (36)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (111) 18 (42)

Missouri 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Ahmad Hardy RB 1,560 YDS / 16 TD / 130 YPG / 6.5 YPC
Beau Pribula QB 1,946 YDS (67.4%) / 11 TD / 9 INT
297 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 29.7 RUSH YPG
Jamal Roberts RB 697 YDS / 5 TD / 58.1 YPG / 6.2 YPC
17 REC / 139 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR 63 REC / 715 YDS / 1 TD / 59.6 YPG
Josiah Trotter LB 83 TKL / 11 TFL / 2 SACK
Zion Young DL 37 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Damon Wilson Jr. DL 18 TKL / 7 TFL / 8.5 SACK / 1 INT
Chris McClellan DL 43 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK

Virginia 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
J'mari Taylor RB 1,062 YDS / 14 TD / 81.7 YPG / 4.8 YPC
43 REC / 253 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.5 REC YPG
Chandler Morris QB 2,802 YDS (64.6%) / 16 TD / 9 INT
245 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 18.8 RUSH YPG
Trell Harris WR 59 REC / 847 YDS / 5 TD / 65.2 YPG
Harrison Waylee RB 488 YDS / 5 TD / 40.7 YPG / 5 YPC
Mitchell Melton DL 42 TKL / 3 TFL / 5.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kamren Robinson LB 61 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Daniel Rickert DL 33 TKL / 5 TFL / 7 SACK
Devin Neal DB 70 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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