Missouri vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 27, 2025

Updated Dec. 27, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Gator Bowl features a showdown between the Missouri Tigers (who are 4.5-point favorites) and the Virginia Cavaliers on December 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The contest's point total is set at 43.5.

Facing the Arkansas Razorbacks in their most recent contest, the Tigers won 31-17. In their most recent game, the Cavaliers lost against the Duke Blue Devils, 27-20.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Missouri vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida
TV: ABC
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Missouri vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Missouri	-4.5 (-108)	-185	+154	43.5	-114	-107

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Missouri vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: Virginia (+4.5)
Pick OU: Over (43.5)
Prediction: Virginia 26, Missouri 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Missouri Tigers vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Missouri vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Tigers 24, Cavaliers 20.
The Tigers have a 64.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 39.4% implied probability.
Missouri is 7-5-0 ATS this season.
Virginia has covered eight times in 13 games with a spread this year.

Missouri vs. Virginia: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Missouri	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.2 (42)	32.2 (25)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.4 (16)	20.5 (43)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	16 (69)	13 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (111)	18 (43)

Missouri 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Ahmad Hardy	RB	1,560 YDS / 16 TD / 130 YPG / 6.5 YPC
Beau Pribula	QB	1,946 YDS (67.4%) / 11 TD / 9 INT 297 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 29.7 RUSH YPG
Jamal Roberts	RB	697 YDS / 5 TD / 58.1 YPG / 6.2 YPC 17 REC / 139 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	63 REC / 715 YDS / 1 TD / 59.6 YPG
Josiah Trotter	LB	83 TKL / 11 TFL / 2 SACK
Zion Young	DL	37 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Damon Wilson Jr.	DL	18 TKL / 7 TFL / 8.5 SACK / 1 INT
Chris McClellan	DL	43 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK

Virginia 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
J'mari Taylor	RB	1,062 YDS / 14 TD / 81.7 YPG / 4.8 YPC 43 REC / 253 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.5 REC YPG
Chandler Morris	QB	2,802 YDS (64.6%) / 16 TD / 9 INT 245 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 18.8 RUSH YPG
Trell Harris	WR	59 REC / 847 YDS / 5 TD / 65.2 YPG
Harrison Waylee	RB	488 YDS / 5 TD / 40.7 YPG / 5 YPC
Mitchell Melton	DL	42 TKL / 3 TFL / 5.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kamren Robinson	LB	61 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT
Daniel Rickert	DL	33 TKL / 5 TFL / 7 SACK
Devin Neal	DB	70 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK