
Providence vs. Xavier Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 25
The Xavier Musketeers (13-14, 5-11 Big East) will attempt to break a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Providence Friars (12-15, 5-11 Big East) on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at Amica Mutual Pavilion. The game airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on truTV.
The Friars are a 5.5-point favorite against the Musketeers when the Friars and the Musketeers square off. The point total for the matchup is set at 170.5.
Continue scrolling to get everything you need to know before placing bets on the Providence-Xavier contest.
Providence vs. Xavier How to Watch & Odds
- When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island
- TV: truTV
- Live Box Score: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friars | -5.5 | -109 | -114 | 170.5 | -110 | -109 | -240 | +192 |
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Providence vs. Xavier Prediction
- Pick ATS: Xavier (+5.5)
- Pick OU: Under (170.5)
- Prediction: Providence 85, Xavier 80
Learn more about the Providence Friars vs. the Xavier Musketeers game on FOX Sports!
Providence vs. Xavier Betting Insights
Betting Line Implied Predictions
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Friars 88, Musketeers 82.
- The Friars have a 70.6% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
- The Musketeers have a 34.2% implied probability to win.
Key Spread Facts
- Providence has compiled a 14-13-0 record against the spread this season.
- Xavier has won 15 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 12 times.
- Providence has been favored by 5.5 points or more seven times this season, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
- Xavier has an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season.
Key Total Facts
- The Friars and their opponent have broken the 170.5-point mark 10 times this year.
- Musketeers games have gone over 170.5 points on five occasions this year.
- The two teams average a combined 164.9 points per contest, 5.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.
Key Moneyline Facts
- Providence has compiled a 9-4 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 69.2% of those games).
- Xavier has won four, or 25%, of the 16 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- Providence has gone 6-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter (winning 85.7%).
- This season, Xavier has won one of its nine games, or 11.1%, when it is the underdog by at least +192 on the moneyline.
Providence vs. Xavier: Recent Results
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10/2026 | Friars | -1.5 | 167.5 | -128 | +107 | 97-84 XAV |
| 3/8/2025 | Musketeers | -11.5 | 150.5 | -775 | +538 | 76-68 XAV |
| 2/12/2025 | Musketeers | -2.5 | 145 | -160 | +134 | 91-82 XAV |
Providence vs. Xavier: 2025-26 Stats Comparison
| Providence | Xavier | |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored Per Game (Rank) | 86.8 (14) | 78.1 (134) |
| Points Allowed (Rank) | 84.7 (359) | 79.1 (316) |
| Rebounds (Rank) | 9.6 (141) | 8.4 (263) |
| 3pt Made (Rank) | 9.1 (83) | 9.6 (52) |
| Assists (Rank) | 14.8 (122) | 18 (16) |
| Turnovers (Rank) | 11.9 (267) | 9.9 (60) |
Providence 2025-26 Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Sellers | 27 | 17.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| Jason Edwards | 19 | 17.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Stefan Vaaks | 27 | 15.7 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 25 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Mela | 27 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Xavier 2025-26 Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Carroll | 27 | 18.6 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Malik Moore | 27 | 11.2 | 3 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 |
| Roddie Anderson III | 27 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 27 | 9.6 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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