Providence vs. Xavier Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 25

Providence vs. Xavier Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 25

Updated Feb. 25, 2026 8:27 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Xavier Musketeers (13-14, 5-11 Big East) will attempt to break a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Providence Friars (12-15, 5-11 Big East) on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at Amica Mutual Pavilion. The game airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on truTV.

The Friars are a 5.5-point favorite against the Musketeers when the Friars and the Musketeers square off. The point total for the matchup is set at 170.5.

Continue scrolling to get everything you need to know before placing bets on the Providence-Xavier contest.

Providence vs. Xavier How to Watch & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island
  • TV: truTV
  • Live Box Score: FOX Sports
Friars vs Musketeers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Friars -5.5 -109 -114 170.5 -110 -109 -240 +192

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Providence vs. Xavier Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Xavier (+5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (170.5)
  • Prediction: Providence 85, Xavier 80

Learn more about the Providence Friars vs. the Xavier Musketeers game on FOX Sports!

Providence vs. Xavier Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Friars 88, Musketeers 82.
  • The Friars have a 70.6% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Musketeers have a 34.2% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

  • Providence has compiled a 14-13-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Xavier has won 15 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 12 times.
  • Providence has been favored by 5.5 points or more seven times this season, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
  • Xavier has an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season.

Key Total Facts

  • The Friars and their opponent have broken the 170.5-point mark 10 times this year.
  • Musketeers games have gone over 170.5 points on five occasions this year.
  • The two teams average a combined 164.9 points per contest, 5.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • Providence has compiled a 9-4 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 69.2% of those games).
  • Xavier has won four, or 25%, of the 16 games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • Providence has gone 6-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter (winning 85.7%).
  • This season, Xavier has won one of its nine games, or 11.1%, when it is the underdog by at least +192 on the moneyline.

Providence vs. Xavier: Recent Results

Friars vs Musketeers Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/10/2026 Friars -1.5 167.5 -128 +107 97-84 XAV
3/8/2025 Musketeers -11.5 150.5 -775 +538 76-68 XAV
2/12/2025 Musketeers -2.5 145 -160 +134 91-82 XAV

Providence vs. Xavier: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

Providence Xavier
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 86.8 (14) 78.1 (134)
Points Allowed (Rank) 84.7 (359) 79.1 (316)
Rebounds (Rank) 9.6 (141) 8.4 (263)
3pt Made (Rank) 9.1 (83) 9.6 (52)
Assists (Rank) 14.8 (122) 18 (16)
Turnovers (Rank) 11.9 (267) 9.9 (60)

Providence 2025-26 Key Players

Friars Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jaylin Sellers 27 17.3 4.2 1.6 0.9 0.3 2.1
Jason Edwards 19 17.3 2.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 2.3
Stefan Vaaks 27 15.7 2.4 3.2 0.9 0.3 2.8
Jamier Jones 25 12.1 4.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.5
Ryan Mela 27 8.6 5.1 2 0.8 0.1 0.3

Xavier 2025-26 Key Players

Musketeers Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tre Carroll 27 18.6 5.9 2.7 0.8 1.3 1.6
Jovan Milicevic 27 12 4 1.4 0.6 0.6 2
Malik Moore 27 11.2 3 4 1.1 0.1 1.6
Roddie Anderson III 27 10.1 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.1 1
Filip Borovicanin 27 9.6 7.9 4.3 1.3 0.6 1

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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