WhatIfSports 2015 SEC Football Projected Standings

BY foxsports • December 24, 2016

Which team will be crowned SEC champions? WhatIfSports.com played every game of the 2015 season 101 times to generate game-by-game predictions for each SEC team, as well as projected conference standings.

All games were played using WhatIfSports' college football simulation engine, which uses its highly sophisticated algorithms to simulate every play of the game. The conference standings table displays the most likely outcome for each team, whereas the team-by-team schedules display absolute records. 

2015 SEC Projected Conference Standings
East W L Overall Record
Georgia 6 2 9-3
Tennessee 4 4 8-4
Missouri 4 4 7-5
Florida 3 5 6-6
South Carolina 3 5 6-6
Kentucky 2 6 5-7
Vanderbilt 1 7 4-8
West W L Overall Record
Alabama 6 2 10-2
Auburn 6 2 10-2
Ole Miss 5 3 9-3
Texas A&M 5 3 8-4
LSU 4 4 8-4
Arkansas 4 4 8-4
Mississippi State 3 5 7-5

The SEC has fallen on hard times.

Okay, that may be a bit of an exaggeration, but after seven consecutive BCS national championships from 2006 through 2012, the conference is "suffering" through a two-year drought. In 2013, Jameis Winston and the Florida State Seminoles knocked off Auburn in the BCS Championship. Last season, Alabama entered the College Football Playoff as the highest-ranked team but fell to eventual champ Ohio State.

Will the SEC retake its place atop the college football world in 2015? Perhaps, but first the conference has to sort through a field of strong contenders to determine which school will carry the flag.

Leading the charge is perennial powerhouse Alabama. The Crimson Tide will have to work in a new quarterback and replace some incredible offensive weapons in Amari Cooper and T.J. Yeldon, but the cupboard is far from bare. Bruce Feldman likes ‘Bama’s chances to repeat:

"Having seen the Tide up close this spring, I came away convinced Nick Saban’s got more quality big -- make that huge -- guys than anybody has had in college football in years. They’re 10-deep on the D-line and will have a much improved O-line. ’Bama should be able to better people with the rushing combo of bruising Derrick Henry and change-of-pace back Kenyan Drake. I also think their corner play, which has been an issue the past few seasons should improve some."

Several challengers could emerge in the SEC West. WhatIfSports.com predicts Auburn to match Alabama in wins, with Ole Miss and Texas A&M close behind. Stewart Mandel believes this could be the Aggies’ year, going so far as to pick the team to win the SEC. With Kyle Allen established at quarterback and a new defensive coordinator in John Chavis, Texas A&M has the talent, but Mandel considers an advantageous schedule to factor strongly as well:

"In an SEC West race that figures to be insanely competitive, A&M's schedule sets up more favorably than any other contender. With Arkansas a neutral-site game (in Arlington, Texas), A&M plays just three conference road games -- and one of those is Vanderbilt. It has a bye week before hosting Alabama (whereas the Tide will play physical Arkansas a week earlier) and also hosts Auburn."

In the SEC East, both WhatIfSports.com and Feldman are taking Georgia, while Mandel’s pick is Tennessee:

"I'm not buying Tennessee as much as some, but I still see the Vols winning a mediocre East. Georgia and Tennessee both play Alabama as a crossover foe, but the Dawgs also have to visit Auburn while Tennessee hosts Arkansas."

To view a team's game-by-game predictions, select the school below:

2015 Alabama Crimson Tide
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Wisconsin Badgers 54.5 27.3-24.5
2 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 82.2 29.3-19.4
3 Ole Miss Rebels 54.5 24.5-24.3
4 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 88.1 31.1-16.0
5 @Georgia Bulldogs 53.5 24.8-22.6
6 Arkansas Razorbacks 51.5 23.8-22.8
7 @Texas A&M Aggies 55.4 29.6-27.4
8 Tennessee Volunteers 54.5 23.8-23.0
10 LSU Tigers 53.5 24.6-23.8
11 @Mississippi State Bulldogs 56.4 24.4-24.4
12 Charleston Southern Buccaneers 95.0 50.6-7.6
13 @Auburn Tigers 52.5 27.7-25.6
2015 Arkansas Razorbacks
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 UTEP Miners 82.2 29.0-16.9
2 Toledo Rockets 73.3 27.9-18.9
3 Texas Tech Red Raiders 53.5 26.3-24.6
4 Texas A&M Aggies 46.5 26.4-27.6
5 @Tennessee Volunteers 57.4 23.6-22.2
6 @Alabama Crimson Tide 48.5 22.8-23.8
8 Auburn Tigers 55.4 25.5-24.1
9 UT Martin Skyhawks 95.0 50.2-7.4
10 @Ole Miss Rebels 51.5 22.0-21.7
11 @LSU Tigers 49.5 23.4-23.8
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs 54.5 24.1-22.4
13 Missouri Tigers 58.4 24.0-20.3
2015 Auburn Tigers
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Louisville Cardinals 68.3 27.5-24.0
2 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 95.0 48.6-8.9
3 @LSU Tigers 52.5 23.6-23.8
4 Mississippi State Bulldogs 44.6 25.1-25.5
5 San Jose State Spartans 77.2 31.3-20.6
7 @Kentucky Wildcats 69.3 29.1-21.9
8 @Arkansas Razorbacks 43.6 24.1-25.5
9 Ole Miss Rebels 55.4 24.2-23.0
10 @Texas A&M Aggies 39.6 28.4-30.9
11 Georgia Bulldogs 48.5 23.8-25.2
12 Idaho Vandals 95.0 35.4-15.8
13 Alabama Crimson Tide 47.5 25.6-27.7
2015 Florida Gators
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 New Mexico State Aggies 81.2 28.2-16.7
2 East Carolina Pirates 56.4 24.6-23.0
3 @Kentucky Wildcats 60.4 22.4-17.9
4 Tennessee Volunteers 41.6 20.3-22.3
5 Ole Miss Rebels 47.5 19.6-20.9
6 @Missouri Tigers 51.5 18.5-18.1
7 @LSU Tigers 45.5 20.1-22.3
9 Georgia Bulldogs 38.6 18.5-22.7
10 Vanderbilt Commodores 59.4 22.5-18.1
11 @South Carolina Gamecocks 49.5 23.7-24.5
12 Florida Atlantic Owls 78.2 27.7-17.0
13 Florida State Seminoles 56.4 21.5-19.7
2015 Georgia Bulldogs
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 90.1 31.2-13.9
2 @Vanderbilt Commodores 78.2 25.3-17.7
3 South Carolina Gamecocks 68.3 27.7-21.6
4 Southern University Jaguars 95.0 52.0-7.5
5 Alabama Crimson Tide 46.5 22.6-24.8
6 @Tennessee Volunteers 54.5 23.4-21.7
7 Missouri Tigers 69.3 24.3-19.1
9 @Florida Gators 61.4 22.7-18.5
10 Kentucky Wildcats 60.4 25.6-20.9
11 @Auburn Tigers 51.5 25.2-23.8
12 Georgia Southern Eagles 80.2 30.6-19.0
13 @Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 70.3 25.4-19.0
2015 Kentucky Wildcats
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 72.3 27.3-19.5
2 @South Carolina Gamecocks 51.5 25.1-25.3
3 Florida Gators 39.6 17.9-22.4
4 Missouri Tigers 32.7 19.9-24.0
5 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 95.0 46.2-8.2
7 Auburn Tigers 30.7 21.9-29.1
8 @Mississippi State Bulldogs 42.6 21.8-23.8
9 Tennessee Volunteers 35.6 20.9-25.4
10 @Georgia Bulldogs 39.6 20.9-25.6
11 @Vanderbilt Commodores 55.4 23.3-20.5
12 Charlotte 49ers 62.4 29.7-25.1
13 Louisville Cardinals 53.5 23.2-21.2
2015 LSU Tigers
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 McNeese State Cowboys 95.0 50.8-8.2
2 @Mississippi State Bulldogs 50.5 22.6-22.4
3 Auburn Tigers 47.5 23.8-23.6
4 @Syracuse Orange 68.3 23.3-16.1
5 Eastern Michigan Eagles 89.1 29.8-12.9
6 @South Carolina Gamecocks 58.4 27.2-23.4
7 Florida Gators 54.5 22.3-20.1
8 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 70.3 30.0-22.8
10 @Alabama Crimson Tide 46.5 23.8-24.6
11 Arkansas Razorbacks 50.5 23.8-23.4
12 @Ole Miss Rebels 45.5 21.7-21.2
13 Texas A&M Aggies 47.5 25.1-28.5
2015 Mississippi State Bulldogs
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 @Southern Miss Golden Eagles 87.1 31.7-15.7
2 LSU Tigers 47.5 22.4-22.6
3 Northwestern State Demons 95.0 46.8-8.0
4 @Auburn Tigers 55.4 25.5-25.1
5 @Texas A&M Aggies 51.5 27.0-26.5
6 Troy Trojans 87.1 29.9-16.9
7 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 70.3 27.2-20.5
8 Kentucky Wildcats 57.4 23.8-21.8
10 @Missouri Tigers 46.5 21.8-21.3
11 Alabama Crimson Tide 43.6 24.4-24.4
12 @Arkansas Razorbacks 43.6 22.4-24.1
13 Ole Miss Rebels 55.4 22.4-22.8
2015 Missouri Tigers
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 95.0 44.0-6.9
2 @Arkansas State Red Wolves 66.3 26.3-19.4
3 Connecticut Huskies 82.2 25.4-15.1
4 @Kentucky Wildcats 67.3 24.0-19.9
5 South Carolina Gamecocks 48.5 24.1-25.0
6 Florida Gators 48.5 18.1-18.5
7 @Georgia Bulldogs 30.7 19.1-24.3
8 @Vanderbilt Commodores 59.4 22.5-19.7
10 Mississippi State Bulldogs 53.5 21.3-21.8
11 BYU Cougars 44.6 25.2-26.6
12 Tennessee Volunteers 41.6 19.1-21.3
13 @Arkansas Razorbacks 41.6 20.3-24.0
2015 Ole Miss Rebels
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 UT Martin Skyhawks 95.0 48.1-8.3
2 Fresno State Bulldogs 81.2 28.7-17.3
3 @Alabama Crimson Tide 44.6 24.3-24.5
4 Vanderbilt Commodores 66.3 24.0-19.4
5 @Florida Gators 51.5 20.9-19.6
6 New Mexico State Aggies 79.2 30.1-16.8
7 @Memphis Tigers 61.4 24.5-20.6
8 Texas A&M Aggies 44.6 24.3-27.3
9 @Auburn Tigers 42.6 23.0-24.2
10 Arkansas Razorbacks 48.5 21.7-22.0
12 LSU Tigers 54.5 21.2-21.7
13 @Mississippi State Bulldogs 43.6 22.8-22.4
2015 South Carolina Gamecocks
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 North Carolina Tar Heels 49.5 30.2-30.1
2 Kentucky Wildcats 48.5 25.3-25.1
3 @Georgia Bulldogs 31.7 21.6-27.7
4 UCF Knights 65.3 26.5-20.7
5 @Missouri Tigers 51.5 25.0-24.1
6 LSU Tigers 41.6 23.4-27.2
7 Vanderbilt Commodores 54.5 25.9-24.5
9 @Texas A&M Aggies 40.6 29.5-32.6
10 @Tennessee Volunteers 38.6 24.1-27.5
11 Florida Gators 50.5 24.5-23.7
12 Citadel Bulldogs 95.0 50.3-6.4
13 Clemson Tigers 41.6 25.5-27.9
2015 Tennessee Volunteers
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Bowling Green Falcons 84.2 29.2-18.6
2 Oklahoma Sooners 56.4 21.7-18.8
3 Western Carolina Catamounts 95.0 50.7-8.4
4 @Florida Gators 58.4 22.3-20.3
5 Arkansas Razorbacks 41.6 22.2-23.6
6 Georgia Bulldogs 45.5 21.7-23.4
8 @Alabama Crimson Tide 43.6 23.0-23.8
9 @Kentucky Wildcats 64.4 25.4-20.9
10 South Carolina Gamecocks 61.4 27.5-24.1
11 North Texas Mean Green 90.1 28.5-13.3
12 @Missouri Tigers 58.4 21.3-19.1
13 Vanderbilt Commodores 69.3 25.0-19.0
2015 Texas A&M Aggies
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Arizona State Sun Devils 53.5 31.0-30.9
2 Ball State Cardinals 81.2 33.5-22.7
3 Nevada Wolf Pack 74.3 33.7-22.7
4 @Arkansas Razorbacks 53.5 27.6-26.4
5 Mississippi State Bulldogs 48.5 26.5-27.0
7 Alabama Crimson Tide 44.6 27.4-29.6
8 @Ole Miss Rebels 54.5 27.3-24.3
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 59.4 32.6-29.5
10 Auburn Tigers 60.4 30.9-28.4
11 Western Carolina Catamounts 95.0 56.3-6.2
12 @Vanderbilt Commodores 60.4 29.3-24.4
13 @LSU Tigers 52.5 28.5-25.1
2015 Vanderbilt Commodores
Week Opponent Win% Avg Score
1 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 59.4 27.8-26.0
2 Georgia Bulldogs 21.8 17.7-25.3
3 Austin Peay Governors 95.0 42.7-8.5
4 @Ole Miss Rebels 33.7 19.4-24.0
5 @Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 54.5 24.8-21.7
7 @South Carolina Gamecocks 44.6 24.5-25.9
8 Missouri Tigers 40.6 19.7-22.5
9 @Houston Cougars 49.5 21.6-21.8
10 @Florida Gators 39.6 18.1-22.5
11 Kentucky Wildcats 42.6 20.5-23.3
12 Texas A&M Aggies 39.6 24.4-29.3
13 @Tennessee Volunteers 30.7 19.0-25.0




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