Leeds United vs. Burnley FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 18

Updated Oct. 18, 2025 8:55 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

Both Leeds United (15th in the Premier League) and Burnley FC (18th) are coming off a loss, and they will face off on Saturday. For our prediction on this matchup, read on.

In the Premier League, Leeds has put up seven goals in 7 matches (13th in league), and Burnley has allowed 15 in 7 matches (19th). With seven goals in 7 games, Burnley is 13th in the Premier League. On the flip side, Leeds has allowed 11 goals in 7 matches, 13th in the league. Leeds' goal difference (-4) is 16th in the Premier League. Burnley has been outscored 15-7, and its -8 goal differential is 18th in the Premier League.

Leeds' last game was a 2-1 loss at home against Tottenham Hotspur, taking 16 shots and outshooting Tottenham by six. Leeds got its only goal from Noah Okafor in that match versus Tottenham. Burnley fell on the road 2-1 to Aston Villa in its last game on October 5. Aston Villa outshot Burnley 11 to three. Lesley Ugochukwu scored Burnley's only goal on two shots.

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Leeds vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines

Leeds vs Burnley Betting Information updated as of October 18, 2025, 6:39 AM ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Leeds +121	Burnley +245	2.5	+127	-162

Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Leeds +121
Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Score Prediction: Leeds 2, Burnley 1

Leeds vs. Burnley Match Info

Match Day: Saturday, October 18, 2025
Match Time: 10:00 AM ET
Location: Burnley, United Kingdom
Stadium: Turf Moor
TV: Peacock Premium
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Leeds' Moneyline Performance

Thus far this season, Leeds has been favored in two matches, and won both times.
Leeds (+121) has not been this big a favorite in a game this season.
Based on the moneyline, Leeds has a 45.2% implied chance of winning this match.

Leeds' Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Anton Stach	7	1	1	6	8
Sean Longstaff	7	1	1	7	11
Noah Okafor	6	2	0	2	3
Lukas Nmecha	7	1	0	1	0
Joe Rodon	7	1	0	4	0

Leeds' Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Tottenham	10/4/2025	H	L	2-1	16	10
Bournemouth	9/27/2025	H	D	2-2	18	14
Wolverhampton	9/20/2025	A	W	3-1	6	15
Fulham	9/13/2025	A	L	1-0	7	5
Newcastle	8/30/2025	H	D	0-0	7	8

Burnley's Moneyline Performance

Burnley has a 29.0% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.

Burnley's Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Jaidon Anthony	7	4	1	10	6
Lyle Foster	7	1	1	2	7
Quilindschy Hartman	7	0	2	3	3
Joshua Cullen	7	1	1	3	6
Lesley Ugochukwu	6	1	0	4	1

Burnley's Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Aston Villa	10/5/2025	A	L	2-1	3	11
Manchester City	9/27/2025	A	L	5-1	7	16
Nottingham Forest	9/20/2025	H	D	1-1	8	17
Liverpool	9/14/2025	H	L	1-0	2	25
Manchester United	8/30/2025	A	L	3-2	6	24