Vikings vs. Steelers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 28

Vikings vs. Steelers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2025 8:43 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Minnesota Vikings (2-1) will travel to Dublin, Ireland to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) at Croke Park on Sunday, September 28, 2025. The Vikings are favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 2.5 points. An over/under of 41.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2025 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Blazin’ 5: Vikings, Patriots, Raiders cover in Week 4 | The Herd

Colin Cowherd lists his best bets for Week 4, including the Minnesota Vikings over the Pittsburgh Steelers, New England Patriots over the Carolina Panthers, and the Las Vegas Raiders over the Chicago Bears.

Vikings vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Vikings vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of September 28, 2025, 8:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Vikings -2.5 -125 105 41.5 -105 -115

Vikings vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Vikings (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  • Prediction: Vikings 24 - Steelers 20

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Pittsburgh

  • Game date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Venue: Croke Park
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
  • TV: NFL Network
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Vikings vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

  • In their past two matchups, Pittsburgh has a split 1-1 record against Minnesota.
  • Over their last two head-to-head contests, Pittsburgh has put up 54 points, while Minnesota has posted 45.

Minnesota Betting Info

  • So far this season Minnesota has two victories against the spread.
  • The Vikings have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
  • Minnesota games this year have gone over the total in two out of three opportunities (66.7%).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Vikings have won 66.7% of the time (2-1).
  • The Vikings have a 59.7% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Vikings Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 145.7 (437) 30
Rush yards 122.3 (367) 13
Points scored 27.0 (81) 7
Pass yards against 141.3 (424) 3
Rush yards against 130.0 (390) 22
Points allowed 18.7 (56) 9

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

  • On the ground, Jordan Mason averages 5.4 yards per attempt (ninth in the NFL) and 71.3 yards per game for 214 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Justin Jefferson's 200 receiving yards this season have come from 20 targets and 12 receptions. He's averaging 66.7 receiving yards and four catches per game, with one receiving touchdown.
  • J.J. McCarthy has 301 passing yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 58.5% of his passes, averaging 150.5 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
  • He has added 50 rushing yards (25 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Carson Wentz has passed for 173 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. He is averaging 173 yards per game and 8.7 per attempt, while completing 70%.

Defense

  • On defense for the Vikings, Isaiah Rodgers has powered the unit with 12 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 2025.
  • Ivan Pace has one TFL and 21 tackles.
  • Eric Wilson has collected 15 tackles and one TFL this year.
  • So far this season, Jonathan Greenard has nine tackles, three TFL, and one sack.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

  • Pittsburgh has gone 1-2-0 against the spread this year.
  • Games involving Pittsburgh have hit the over twice this season.
  • This is the first time the Steelers will play as underdogs this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Steelers based on the moneyline is 44.6%.

Steelers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 184.0 (552) 24
Rush yards 63.0 (189) 31
Points scored 24.0 (72) 13
Pass yards against 246.7 (740) 26
Rush yards against 139.3 (418) 26
Points allowed 25.7 (77) 22

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

  • Through three games played this year, Aaron Rodgers has racked up 586 passing yards, with seven touchdowns (second in the NFL) against three interceptions and completing 65.1% of his passes.
  • Jaylen Warren averages 44 rushing yards per game through three games (132 total yards), but is seeking his first rushing touchdown.
  • Warren also has 11 catches for 142 yards (first on the Steelers), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 12 times and averages 47.3 yards per game.
  • D.K. Metcalf has totaled 135 receiving yards and two touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) on 10 receptions, while being targeted 17 times this season.
  • Calvin Austin III has eight catches for 126 yards and two receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL). He averages 2.7 yards per game through three games and has been targeted 15 times.

Defense

  • In 2025, T.J. Watt has amassed 14 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks through three games.
  • Payton Wilson has 20 tackles, two TFL, and one sack.
  • Patrick Queen has 24 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended during the 2025 season.
  • Nick Herbig has intercepted one pass to go with five tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one pass defended. He's eighth in the NFL in interceptions.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share