Packers vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 28

Updated Nov. 28, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having won three in a row, the Miami Dolphins (5-6) will play the Green Bay Packers (8-3). Despite that, the Packers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the game is 47.5.

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Packers vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of November 28, 2024, 4:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Packers	-3.5	-105	-115	47.5	-108	-112

Packers vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Packers (-3.5)
Pick OU: Under (47.5)
Prediction: Packers 30 - Dolphins 14

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Miami

Game Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Packers vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Green Bay has collected four wins against Miami.
Miami has been outpaced by 35 points in its last five tilts against Green Bay.

Green Bay Betting Info

Green Bay has played 11 games, posting five wins against the spread.
The Packers have covered the spread twice this season (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
Green Bay has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 45.5% of its contests this year (five times in 11 games with a set point total).
The Packers have won 85.7% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (6-1).
Based on this game's moneyline, the Packers' implied win probability is 64.3%.

Packers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	230.7 (2,538)	11
Rush yards	151.6 (1,668)	3
Points scored	26.2 (288)	8
Pass yards against	206.5 (2,272)	11
Rush yards against	112.7 (1,240)	12
Points allowed	20.3 (223)	10

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Josh Jacobs averages 4.7 yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 85.8 yards per game for 944 total rushing yards (third in the NFL). He has recorded seven rushing touchdowns this season.
He has also caught 23 passes (on 30 targets) for 186 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 16.9 receving yards and 2.1 catches per game.
Jordan Love has 2,244 passing yards, 18 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 61.8% of his passes, averaging 249.3 yards per game and 8.0 per attempt.
He has tacked on 48 rushing yards (5.3 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
In the passing attack, Jayden Reed, has racked up 669 receiving yards and four touchdowns after catching 41 balls on 52 targets. Per game, he's averaging 60.8 yards and 3.7 receptions through 11 games.
Tucker Kraft has racked up 402 receiving yards and six touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) with 30 catches on 42 targets. He's averaging 2.7 receptions and 36.5 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Xavier McKinney has seven interceptions (first in the NFL) to go with 52 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and nine passes defended in 2024.
Quay Walker has 1.5 sacks as well as 6.0 TFL and 79 tackles.
Edgerrin Cooper has put up 47 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
Keisean Nixon has 49 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended.

Miami Betting Info

Miami is 5-6-0 against the spread this year.
The Dolphins have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
Games involving Miami have hit the over on five occasions this season.
This season, the Dolphins have won one out of the four games in which they've been the underdog.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dolphins have a 40.0% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	207.1 (2,278)	19
Rush yards	116.8 (1,285)	16
Points scored	19.5 (215)	24
Pass yards against	197.5 (2,173)	8
Rush yards against	106.9 (1,176)	9
Points allowed	21.5 (236)	11

Miami's Key Players

Offense

So far this year through 11 games, Devon Achane has churned out 562 rushing yards (leading the Dolphins) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 51.1 yards per game and 4.3 per carry (21st in the NFL).
On top of his rushing statistics, Achane has caught 49 passes (on 55 targets) for 373 yards (fourth on the Dolphins), with five receiving touchdowns. He's averaging 33.9 yards per game.
Through seven games, Tua Tagovailoa has 1,760 passing yards, while throwing 13 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 73.3% of his attempts.
Through 11 games played this season, Tyreek Hill has 49 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 6.6 targets per game) for 571 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
Jonnu Smith has 48 catches for 535 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.4 yards per game through 11 games and has been targeted 63 times.

Defense

In 2024, Jordyn Brooks has amassed 1.0 sack to go with 6.0 TFL and 94 tackles over 11 games.
Tyrel Dodson has one interception on top of 76 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended.
Calais Campbell has 4.0 sacks (first on the Dolphins) as well as 9.0 TFL and 34 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
Zach Sieler has totaled 4.0 sacks (first on the Dolphins) as well as 7.0 TFL, 31 tackles, and one interception.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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