Buccaneers vs. Dolphins 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) will be trying to end a three-game losing run against the Miami Dolphins (6-9). Despite that, the Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 44.5.

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Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

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Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Dolphins (+6.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Buccaneers 26 - Dolphins 21

How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Miami

• Game date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Buccaneers vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

• In their past two head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has won against Miami two times.
• In their last two head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has tallied 75 points versus Miami, while giving up only 37 points.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Against the spread, Tampa Bay is 5-10-0 this season.
• The Buccaneers have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
• Tampa Bay games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 15 opportunities (53.3%).
• The Buccaneers have a 5-4 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Buccaneers a 74.4% chance to win.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield has thrown for 3,144 yards, 23 touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. He averages 209.6 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt, while completing 61.6% of his passes.
• To go along with his passing stats, Mayfield also has 335 rushing yards (third on the Buccaneers), with one rushing touchdown.
• Emeka Egbuka's 910 receiving yards this season have come from 119 targets and 59 receptions. He's averaging 60.7 receiving yards and 3.9 catches per game, with six receiving touchdowns.
• Rachaad White's output on the ground this season includes 539 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 35.9 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (24th in the NFL).
• White has totaled 36 catches on 41 targets for 193 yards, but he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
• Bucky Irving has rushed for 484 yards with one touchdown (60.5 yards per game through eight games).
• Irving's 27 receiving targets have resulted in 24 receptions (3.0 per game) for 250 yards (31.3 per game) and three TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Lavonte David has 106 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
• Tykee Smith has 94 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season.
• SirVocea Dennis has put up 91 tackles, 8.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception this year. He's third on the Buccaneers in tackles.
• This season, Antoine Winfield Jr. has 83 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami is 7-8-0 against the spread this year.
• The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• This season, Miami games have hit the over nine times.
• The Dolphins have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won twice.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 29.9% chance of a victory for the Dolphins.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• De'Von Achane has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has racked up 1,267 total rushing yards (84.5 per game and 5.8 per carry).
• Achane has also played a role the receiving game with 459 yards (30.6 per game) on 64 receptions (4.3 per game), while being targeted 82 times. He has four receiving touchdowns.
• Tua Tagovailoa has 2,660 passing yards, 20 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.7% and he averages 190.0 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• So far this season, Jaylen Waddle has caught 64 passes for 910 receiving yards with six touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 99 total times and is averaging 4.3 receptions per game over 15 games played.
• Darren Waller has been targeted 31 times, resulting in 23 catches for 283 yards .

Defense

• Jordyn Brooks has put up 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Dolphins) to go with 12.0 TFL and 169 tackles through 15 games in 2025.
• Tyrel Dodson has registered 4.0 sacks in addition to his 9.0 TFL, 116 tackles, and one interception through 14 games.
• Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1.0 sack in addition to his 4.0 TFL, 74 tackles, and one interception.
• Bradley Chubb's stat sheet includes 43 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 15 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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