Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 11

The San Antonio Spurs (37-16) will attempt to build on a five-game winning streak when visiting the Golden State Warriors (29-25) on February 11, 2026 at Chase Center. The Spurs are currently healthy 7.5-point favorites over the Warriors. The over/under is 220.5 points for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Spurs-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Spurs vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ESPN and FDSSW
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (220.5)
Score Prediction: Spurs 115 - Warriors 114

Spurs vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Spurs have played 32 games with more than 220.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• This season, 36 of the Warriors' 54 total matchups have gone over 220.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 233.6 points per game, 13.1 more points than the over/under of 220.5 set for this matchup.
• The Spurs and the Warriors have seen their opponents average a combined 5.2 more points per game than the over/under of 220.5 set for this matchup.
• San Antonio has been the favorite in 36 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (72.2%) in those contests.
• Golden State has been victorious in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Golden State has a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head matchups against San Antonio.
• The Warriors also have a 2-0 record against the spread when facing the Spurs.
• The Spurs have been favored in each of their previous three contests, and beat the spread in all three.

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 6-3-1 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• San Antonio has averaged a total of 227.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 7.3 greater than this game's over/under of 220.5.
• The Spurs are 27-22-4 against the spread this season.
• San Antonio is 8-7-2 ATS when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
• Spurs games this year have eclipsed the over/under 21 times in 54 opportunities (38.9%).
• The Spurs average 118 points per game, only 4.5 more points than the 113.5 the Warriors give up.
• When San Antonio puts up more than 113.5 points, it is 20-12-3 against the spread and 30-5 overall.
• The Spurs are shooting 47.7% from the field this season, 0.6 percentage points higher than the 47.1% the Warriors allow to opponents.
• The Spurs have done a better job covering the spread in road games (15-12-1) than they have at home (12-10-3).
• San Antonio has gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (40%) than road games (39.3%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Spurs have picked up the win in 16 of 22 games at home, good for a .727 winning percentage. They have won 10 of 14 games on the road (.714) as a moneyline favorite.

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama posts 24.4 points, 2.7 assists and 11.1 rebounds per contest.
• De'Aaron Fox posts 19.3 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.7 points, 7 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game.
• Keldon Johnson posts 13.4 points, 5.9 boards and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.3 points, 1.4 assists and 5.9 rebounds.

Spurs Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 5.7 points greater than the 220.5 total given for this matchup.
• In the Warriors' 54 games this season, they have 24 wins against the spread.
• This year, Golden State has just one ATS win in seven games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• The Warriors have hit the over 55.6% of the time this season (30 of 54 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors score just 3.4 more points per game (115.6) than the Spurs give up to opponents (112.2).
• When it scores more than 112.2 points, Golden State is 18-14-1 against the spread and 23-10 overall.
• The Warriors' 46.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Spurs have allowed to their opponents (45.6%).
• The Warriors' winning percentage against the spread at home is .481 (13-13-1). On the road, it is .407 (11-16-0).
• Golden State's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (16 times out of 27) than away (14 of 27) this year.
• In 2025-26 as moneyline favorites, the Warriors have a better winning percentage at home (.708, 17-7 record) than away (.400, 6-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski provides 11.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game for the Warriors.
• The Warriors are receiving 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game from Draymond Green this year.
• Moses Moody gets the Warriors 11.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while delivering 1 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post this season.
• Al Horford is putting up 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. He is making 42.9% of his shots from the field and 34.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per game.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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