Rockets vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 4

The Houston Rockets (31-17) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Boston Celtics (32-18), who have won three straight as well. Wednesday's matchup between the Rockets and the Celtics features the Rockets as healthy 7-point favorites. The game's point total is 209.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Celtics game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Celtics Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: NBCS-BOS and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Celtics Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (+ 7)
O/U Pick: Over (209.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 115 - Celtics 111

Rockets vs. Celtics Betting Insights

• The Rockets have played 40 games with more than 209.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this season.
• A total of 39 Celtics games this season (out of 50) have had more than 209.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average 232 points per game combined, 22.5 more than the over/under of 209.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 9.4 more points per game, 218.9, than this game's over/under of 209.5 points.
• Houston has been victorious in 29, or 65.9%, of the 44 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Boston has been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (50%) in those games.
• Houston holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head meetings with Boston.
• The Rockets have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when hitting the court against the Celtics.
• Against the point spread, the Celtics have covered for three consecutive games, and were favored in all of them.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their past 10 games.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 12.6 points more than the 209.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Rockets are 22-26-0 against the spread this year.
• Houston has an against the spread record of 8-16 in its 24 games when favored by 7 points or more so far this season.
• The Rockets have eclipsed the over/under in 42% of their opportunities this year (21 times in 50 games with a set point total).
• The 116 points per game the Rockets record are 7.1 more points than the Celtics allow (108.9).
• When Houston totals more than 108.9 points, it is 20-17 against the spread and 27-10 overall.
• This season, the Rockets have a 47.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.9% higher than the 44.4% of shots the Celtics' opponents have knocked down.
• The Rockets sport a worse record against the spread in home games (8-13-0) than they do in away games (14-13-0).
• When it comes to point totals, Houston hits the over less consistently at home, as it has exceeded the total seven times in 21 opportunities this season (33.3%). In road games, it has hit the over 14 times in 27 opportunities (51.9%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Rockets have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.850) compared to road games (.500).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Amen Thompson averages 18.1 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (seventh in league) and 0.6 blocks.
• Kevin Durant posts 26.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest, shooting 51% from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made treys per game.
• Alperen Sengun puts up 21.4 points, 9.4 boards and 6.3 assists per game, shooting 50.1% from the floor.
• Jabari Smith Jr. posts 15.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 1 block.
• Reed Sheppard averages 12.6 points, 3 assists and 2.5 rebounds.

Rockets Player Props

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 14.6 points greater than the 209.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Celtics' 50 games this year, they have 28 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been underdogs by 7 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Celtics games this season have gone over the point total 38% of the time (19 out of 50 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics score an average of 116 points per game, six more points than the 110 the Rockets allow.
• Boston has put together a 25-6 ATS record and a 27-4 overall record in games it scores more than 110 points.
• The Celtics have shot at a 46.9% rate from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points greater than the 46% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Celtics have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 12-12-0 record) than on the road (.615, 16-9-1).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Boston's games have finished above the over/under at home (37.5%, nine of 24) than away (38.5%, 10 of 26).
• The Celtics' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .684 (13-6), and on the road it is .706 (12-5).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jaylen Brown gets the Celtics 29.5 points, 7 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Nikola Vucevic gives the Celtics 16.9 points, 9 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Derrick White gets the Celtics 17.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game while averaging 1.2 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.
• The Celtics are receiving 16.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game from Payton Pritchard this season.
• Neemias Queta is averaging 10.1 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is making 63.6% of his shots from the field (fifth in league).

Celtics Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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