Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 22

The Golden State Warriors (29-27) take on the Denver Nuggets (36-21) on February 22, 2026 at Chase Center. The Nuggets match up with the Warriors in a game that Denver is currently a strong favorite by 6.5 points. A 227.5-point total is set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

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Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 117 - Nuggets 116

Nuggets vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have finished over 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 39 times (out of 57) this season.
• This season, 33 of the Warriors' 56 total matchups have gone over 227.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 8.8 more points per game, 236.3, than this game's over/under of 227.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 229.9 points per game, 2.4 more than the point total in this game.
• Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 37 games this year and has walked away with the win 26 times (70.3%) in those games.
• Golden State has been victorious in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Denver and Golden State have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• Both the Nuggets and the Warriors are 1-1 against the spread in those outings.
• In their previous four contests the Warriors have not beaten the point spread, and they were the favorite in one of those games.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• Denver has averaged a total of 229.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.9 greater than this matchup's over/under of 227.5.
• The Nuggets have 32 wins against the spread in 57 games this year.
• Denver is 13-11 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under in 64.3% of their opportunities this year (36 times over 56 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets average 120.9 points per game, 7.1 more points than the 113.8 the Warriors allow.
• Denver is 25-18 against the spread and 30-13 overall when scoring more than 113.8 points.
• The Nuggets make 49.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.4 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
• In home games, the Nuggets have a worse record against the spread (12-14-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (20-11-0).
• In home games, Denver goes over the total 57.7% of the time (15 of 26 games). It hits the over more often in road games, topping the total in 67.7% of games (21 of 31).
• The Nuggets have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 12-5 (.706). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 14-6 (.700).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.6 points, 10.5 assists and 12.3 boards per contest.
• Jamal Murray posts 25.6 points, 4.5 boards and 7.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.4 blocks.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 2.6 rebounds per game.
• Bruce Brown posts 7.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocks.
• Jonas Valanciunas averages 9.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 57.2% from the floor.

Nuggets Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 223.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.0 less than this game's total of 227.5.
• In the Warriors' 56 games this year, they have 24 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has been underdogs by 6.5 points or more eight times this season and covered the spread once.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under 57.1% of the time this year (32 of 56 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors put up an average of 115.4 points per game, just 0.7 fewer points than the 116.1 the Nuggets allow to opponents.
• Golden State has put together a 17-10-1 ATS record and a 21-7 overall record in games it scores more than 116.1 points.
• The Warriors' 46.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Nuggets have given up to their opponents.
• The Warriors' winning percentage against the spread at home is .448 (13-15-1). On the road, it is .407 (11-16-0).
• Golden State's games have gone above the over/under 62.1% of the time at home (18 of 29), and 51.9% of the time away (14 of 27).
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .708 (17-7), and away it is .400 (6-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gives the Warriors 12.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Draymond Green gets the Warriors 8.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are getting 11.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Moses Moody this season.
• Quinten Post gives the Warriors 7.7 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while posting 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Al Horford gets the Warriors 7.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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