Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 27

The Denver Nuggets (1-1) are traveling to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1) for a matchup of Northwest Division rivals at Target Center on October 27, 2025. It's the first matchup between the clubs this season. Monday's game between the Nuggets and the Timberwolves sees the Nuggets as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The matchup's over/under is 229.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, October 27, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 125 - Timberwolves 119

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• In 52 of 82 games last season, the Nuggets and their opponents combined to score more than 229.5 points.
• The Timberwolves played 32 games last season that had more than 229.5 combined points scored.
• The two teams combined to score 235.1 points per game last season, 5.6 more points than the point total for this matchup.
• Combined, these teams surrendered 226.2 points per contest last year, 3.3 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
• The average point total in Nuggets outings last season was 232.4, 2.9 more points than the over/under for this game.
• Timberwolves outings last year had a 221.6-point average over/under, 7.9 fewer points than this game's total.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• Denver put together a 38-43-1 ATS record last year.
• Denver had an ATS record of 18-16 when playing as at least a 6.5-point favorite last season.
• Last season, 49 Denver games hit the over.
• Last year, the 120.8 points per game the Nuggets averaged were 11.5 more points than the Timberwolves gave up (109.3).
• Denver went 38-26-1 against the spread and 49-16 overall last season when scoring more than 109.3 points.
• The Nuggets made 50.6% of their shots from the field last season, which was 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves allowed to their opponents (46.0%).
• The Nuggets covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 18 times in 41 games at home, and they covered 20 times in 41 games on the road.
• In home games last year, Denver eclipsed the over/under 63.4% of the time (26 of 41 games). Denver hit the over in 56.1% of away games (23 of 41 contests).
• As a moneyline favorite last year, the Nuggets won 23 of 36 games at home, good for a .639 winning percentage. They won 16 of 26 games away from home (.615) as a moneyline favorite.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic put up 29.6 points last season, plus 12.7 boards and 10.2 assists.
• Jamal Murray averaged 21.4 points, 3.9 boards and 6.0 assists. He drained 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Christian Braun's numbers last season were 15.4 points, 5.2 boards and 2.6 assists per game. He sank 58.0% of his shots from the floor (eighth in NBA) and 39.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• Jonas Valanciunas recorded 10.4 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists. He drained 55.0% of his shots from the floor.
• Cameron Johnson averaged 18.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest, plus 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocks.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves covered 39 times in 82 chances against the spread last year.
• Against the spread, as an underdog of 6.5 points or greater, Minnesota went 4-3 last year.
• In Timberwolves games last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 45 times.
• The Timberwolves put up an average of 114.3 points per game last year, just 2.6 fewer points than the 116.9 the Nuggets gave up to opponents.
• Minnesota went 21-7 against the spread and 24-4 overall when it scored more than 116.9 points last season.
• The Timberwolves shot 46.8% from the field, 0.2% higher than the 46.6% the Nuggets' opponents shot last season.
• Last year, the Timberwolves were 17-23-1 at home against the spread (.415 winning percentage). On the road, they were 22-19-0 ATS (.537).
• Minnesota's games went above the over/under 61% of the time at home (25 of 41) last year, and 48.8% of the time away (20 of 41).
• Last season the Timberwolves went 23-13 at home when moneyline favorites (.639 winning percentage). On the road they went 17-10 (.630).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards scored 27.6 points and dished out 4.5 assists per game last season.
• Rudy Gobert pulled down 10.9 rebounds per game while also scoring 12.0 points a contest.
• Edwards made 4.1 threes per game a season ago.
• Jaden McDaniels averaged 1.3 takeaways per game, while Gobert compiled 1.4 rejections per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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