Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 1

The Minnesota Timberwolves (37-23) will attempt to build on a three-game road winning streak at the Denver Nuggets (37-23) on March 1, 2026. The Nuggets face the Timberwolves in a game that doesn't have a set line.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ABC
• Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Nuggets 119 - Timberwolves 116

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• The Nuggets have 34 wins against the spread in 60 games this season.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 38 of 60 set point totals.
• The Nuggets record 120.5 points per game, 5.8 more points than the 114.7 the Timberwolves give up.
• When Denver puts up more than 114.7 points, it is 25-18 against the spread and 29-14 overall.
• The Nuggets are shooting 49.2% from the field this season, 3.0 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have played worse at home, covering 13 times in 27 home games, and 21 times in 33 road games.
• Denver has gone over the over/under in 15 of 27 home games (55.6%). It has fared better in away games, eclipsing the total in 23 of 33 matchups (69.7%).
• The Nuggets have performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 13-5, compared to going 14-7 in away games.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic posts 28.7 points, 12.6 boards and 10.5 assists per contest, shooting 57.0% from the floor and 40.4% from downtown with 2.0 made treys per game.
• Jamal Murray puts up 25.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 42.4% from beyond the arc with 3.2 made 3-pointers per contest (eighth in league).
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.9 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.7 points, 2.2 assists and 4.0 rebounds.
• Jonas Valanciunas averages 8.9 points, 1.3 assists and 5.1 boards.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span.
• In the Timberwolves' 60 games this season, they have 26 wins against the spread.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 30 of 60 set point totals (50%).
• The Timberwolves score an average of 119.2 points per game, just 3.3 more points than the 115.9 the Nuggets give up.
• When it scores more than 115.9 points, Minnesota is 22-12 against the spread and 29-5 overall.
• The Timberwolves' 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
• This season, the Timberwolves are 13-18-0 at home against the spread (.419 winning percentage). On the road, they are 13-16-0 ATS (.448).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (35.5%, 11 of 31) compared to on the road (65.5%, 19 of 29).
• When moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-9) than away (15-6).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle puts up 21.7 points, 6.8 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves are getting 29.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game from Anthony Edwards this year.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 11.0 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 12.9 points, 4.4 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game from Donte DiVincenzo this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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