Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 28

The Denver Nuggets (13-4) play the San Antonio Spurs (12-5) on November 28, 2025 on ALT and KENS. Friday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Spurs features the Nuggets as strong 7.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 238.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Spurs game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Spurs Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ALT and KENS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction

ATS Pick: Spurs (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 120 - Spurs 114

Nuggets vs. Spurs Betting Insights

• Nuggets games have finished over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, nine times (out of 17) this season.
• The Spurs games have gone over 238.5 total points scored in four of 17 total matchups this year.
• Between them, these two teams average 3.4 more points per game (241.9) than this matchup's over/under (238.5).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 13.1 fewer points per game (225.4) than this matchup's total of 238.5 points.
• Denver has been victorious in 12, or 80%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• San Antonio has been victorious in three of the four contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• In the last three head-to-head matchups, San Antonio has a 2-1 record against Denver.
• The Spurs also have a 2-1 record against the spread when playing the Nuggets.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 2.8 points fewer than the 238.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Nuggets' 17 games this season, they have 11 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 7-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 10 out of 17 opportunities (58.8%).
• The 123.8 points per game the Nuggets score are 12.2 more points than the Spurs allow (111.6).
• When Denver puts up more than 111.6 points, it is 11-5 against the spread and 13-3 overall.
• The Nuggets are shooting 50.6% from the field this season, 5.7 percentage points higher than the 44.9% the Spurs allow to opponents.
• The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread in road games (6-3-0) than they have in home games (5-3-0).
• In terms of point totals, Denver hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has eclipsed the total five times in eight opportunities this season (62.5%). In away games, it has hit the over five times in nine opportunities (55.6%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their home games (.750) compared to away games (.857).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic puts up 29.6 points, 11.1 assists and 12.8 boards per contest.
• Jamal Murray posts 23.2 points, 4.6 boards and 6.8 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the field and 38.6% from downtown with 2.8 made treys per contest.
• Peyton Watson averages 9.8 points, 1.6 assists and 4.8 boards per game.
• Cameron Johnson posts 9.9 points, 3.3 boards and 2.1 assists per game, shooting 44.8% from the floor and 36.1% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 11.1 points, 1.4 assists and 1.9 rebounds.

Nuggets Player Props

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 5-4-1 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• San Antonio's average total over the last 10 games is 5.2 points fewer than the 238.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Spurs' 17 games this year, they have seven wins against the spread.
• Spurs games this season have hit the over on eight of 17 set point totals (47.1%).
• The Spurs score an average of 118.1 points per game, just 4.3 more points than the 113.8 the Nuggets give up.
• San Antonio has put together a 6-5-2 ATS record and a 10-3 overall record in games it scores more than 113.8 points.
• The Spurs have shot at a 48.8% clip from the field this season, 3.3 percentage points above the 45.5% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
• The Spurs have been better against the spread at home (5-3-2) than on the road (2-4-1) this season.
• In terms of the over/under, San Antonio's games have gone over less often at home (four of 10, 40%) than away (four of seven, 57.1%).
• The Spurs' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .750 (6-2), and away it is .500 (2-2).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Devin Vassell gets the Spurs 14.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Keldon Johnson gets the Spurs 12.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Spurs are getting 12.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Harrison Barnes this season.
• The Spurs are getting 25 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game from De'Aaron Fox this season.
• The Spurs are receiving 10.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Julian Champagnie this year.

Spurs Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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