Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 1

The Denver Nuggets (14-5) will look to break a three-game home losing skid when squaring off versus the Dallas Mavericks (6-15) on December 1, 2025 at Ball Arena. Denver is a substantial 11.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Nuggets square off against the Mavericks on Monday. The over/under is 235.5 points for the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 1, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: KFAA, ALT, and KTVD
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 11.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 125 - Mavericks 108

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Nuggets have played 11 games with over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• This season, five of the Mavericks' 21 games have had a combined total higher than 235.5 points scored.
• The Nuggets and the Mavericks combine to average 0.5 fewer points per game than the total of 235.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 231 points per game, 4.5 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (76.5%) in those games.
• Dallas has won in three, or 21.4%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Denver has a 3-1 record in the last four head-to-head meetings with Dallas.
• Both the Nuggets and the Mavericks have 2-2 records against the spread in those contests.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Denver has averaged a total of 235.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.4 greater than this game's total of 235.5.
• The Nuggets are 12-7-0 against the spread this season.
• Denver has covered the spread twice this season when favored by 11.5 points or more (in four chances).
• Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 57.1% of the time (12 out of 21 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up 124.8 points per game, 8.9 more points than the 115.9 the Mavericks give up.
• Denver is 11-6 against the spread and 13-4 overall when scoring more than 115.9 points.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 51.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.3% higher than the 45.8% of shots the Mavericks' opponents have made.
• The Nuggets own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-4-0) than they do on the road (7-3-0).
• In home games, Denver exceeds the over/under 66.7% of the time (six of nine games). It has hit the over in 60% of away games (six of 10 contests).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their home games (.667) compared to road games (.875).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.9 points, 12.4 rebounds and 10.9 assists per game, shooting 63.7% from the field (eighth in NBA) and 45.3% from downtown (10th in NBA) with 2.1 made treys per game.
• Jamal Murray averages 24 points, 6.6 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game.
• Peyton Watson puts up 10.1 points, 4.8 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 51.1% from the field and 39.2% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Cameron Johnson puts up 11.2 points, 3.4 boards and 2.2 assists per contest, shooting 47.3% from the field and 40.8% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 11.9 points, 1.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.4 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Nuggets Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 230.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.7 less than this matchup's total of 235.5.
• The Mavericks have nine wins against the spread in 21 games this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 11.5 points or more (in two chances).
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total eight times in 21 opportunities (38.1%).
• The Mavericks put up only 4.9 fewer points per game (110.2) than the Nuggets give up (115.1).
• Dallas is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall when it scores more than 115.1 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 44.4% from the field, 1.2% lower than the 45.6% the Nuggets' opponents have shot this season.
• The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .385 (5-8-0). Away, it is .500 (4-4-0).
• Dallas' games have gone above the over/under more often at home (five times out of 13) than on the road (three of eight) this year.
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .333 (2-4), and away it is 1.000 (1-0).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 16.7 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He's also sinking 46.2% of his shots from the field and 25.3% from 3-point range, with 1 trey per contest.
• The Mavericks are getting 16 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from P.J. Washington this year.
• Naji Marshall is averaging 12.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is making 47.9% of his shots from the floor and 30.8% from 3-point range, with 1 treys per contest.
• Max Christie gives the Mavericks 12.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams gives the Mavericks 11.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game while posting 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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