Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 5

Updated Nov. 5, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Denver Nuggets (4-2) hope to extend a three-game home winning run when hosting the Miami Heat (4-3) on November 5, 2025. The Nuggets square off with the Heat in a game that Denver is currently a healthy favorite by 9.5 points. A 241.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

When: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
TV: FDSSUN, ALT, KTVD, and KUSA
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Nuggets vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets	-9.5	-110	-110	241.5	-112	-108	-420	+330

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 9.5)
O/U Pick: Under (241.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 124 - Heat 116

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Insights

This season, the Nuggets games have finished over 241.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, three (out of six) times.
Four of the Heat's seven games this season have had more than 241.5 total points scored.
These teams average 248.9 points per game combined, 7.4 more than the total of 241.5.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 230.8 points per game, 10.7 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
Denver has won four of the five contests in which it was the favorite this year.
Miami has won in three of the six contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
Denver has won both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Miami.
The Nuggets also have a 2-0 record against the spread when facing the Heat.

Nuggets Recent Trends

Against the spread, the Nuggets are 3-3-0 this season.
This season, Denver has two ATS wins in three games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
Nuggets games this year have hit the over four times in seven opportunities (57.1%).
The 125 points per game the Nuggets record are eight more points than the Heat allow (117).
When Denver totals more than 117 points, it is 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
The Nuggets are shooting 51.8% from the field this season, 6.9 percentage points higher than the 44.9% the Heat allow to opponents.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat	Average	Rank
Points Scored	125	1
Points Allowed	113.8	7
Rebounds	45.7	11
Assists	29.8	3
Steals	8	17
Blocks	4.2	20

Nuggets Leaders

Nikola Jokic averages 22.7 points, 13.2 rebounds and 11.3 assists per contest, shooting 60.2% from the field and 29% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
Jamal Murray posts 24.2 points, 5.7 assists and 5 rebounds per contest.
Aaron Gordon averages 19.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 55.1% from the field and 48.4% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made treys per contest.
Christian Braun averages 12.7 points, 2.5 assists and 3.8 boards.
Jonas Valanciunas averages 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 4.3 boards.

Nuggets Player Props

	Points O/U	Points Over Odds	PPG
Nikola Jokic	24.5	-118	22.7
Jamal Murray	21.5	-106	24.2
Aaron Gordon	16.5	-104	19.8
Cameron Johnson	12.5	-102	8.5
Christian Braun	12.5	-118	12.7

Heat Recent Trends

The Heat are 5-1-1 against the spread this season.
Heat games this year have hit the over on five of seven set point totals (71.4%).
The Heat's 123.9 points per game are 10.1 more points than the 113.8 the Nuggets give up to opponents.
Miami is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall when it scores more than 113.8 points.
The Heat have shot at a 50.2% rate from the field this season, 4.7 percentage points greater than the 45.5% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.

Heat Recent Stats

Stat	Average	Rank
Points Scored	123.9	3
Points Allowed	117	15
Rebounds	44.4	13
Assists	30	2
Steals	9.1	9
Blocks	2.7	29

Heat Leaders

Bam Adebayo delivers 22.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game for the Heat.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 16.9 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest. He's sinking 60.3% of his shots from the field.
The Heat are receiving 16.3 points, 5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this season.
Davion Mitchell is averaging 8.9 points, 2.6 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game. He is sinking 45.6% of his shots from the field and 35% from beyond the arc, with 1 triples per game.
Norman Powell is putting up 23.3 points, 6 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He is draining 50% of his shots from the floor and 52.4% from 3-point range (seventh in NBA), with 2.8 treys per game.