Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 24

The Miami Heat (11-6) will attempt to continue a four-game winning streak when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (5-13) on November 24, 2025 at Kaseya Center. Miami is a solid 7.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Heat face off with the Mavericks on Monday. The game's point total is 239.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, November 24, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and KFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 126 - Mavericks 109

Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Of 17 games thus far this season, the Heat have played 10 with over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• The Mavericks games have gone over 239.5 total points scored in three of 18 total matchups this year.
• The Heat and the Mavericks combine to average 4.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 234.9 points per game, 4.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
• Miami has been chosen as the favorite in five games this year and has walked away with the win four times (80%) in those games.
• Dallas has won in two, or 18.2%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Miami and Dallas have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• Both the Heat and the Mavericks are 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• The Heat have covered in four consecutive games against the point spread, and they were favored in two of them.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Miami has averaged a total of 241.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.8 greater than this matchup's total of 239.5.
• The Heat have 12 wins against the spread in 17 games this season.
• This season, Miami has won against the spread in each of its two games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 11 of 18 set point totals.
• The Heat record 124.9 points per game, 8.9 more points than the 116.0 the Mavericks allow.
• Miami is 9-2 against the spread and 8-3 overall when scoring more than 116.0 points.
• The Heat make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.0 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (45.2%).
• The Heat own a better record against the spread in home games (7-1-0) than they do on the road (5-3-1).
• Looking at point totals, Miami hits the over less often at home, as it has exceeded the total four times in eight opportunities this season (50%). On the road, it has hit the over seven times in nine opportunities (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.7 points, 6.5 boards and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 53.0% from the floor.
• Kel'el Ware posts 12.0 points, 10.6 boards and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 52.6% from the field.
• Davion Mitchell puts up 10.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 7.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Bam Adebayo averages 19.5 points, 2.9 assists and 8.4 boards.
• Pelle Larsson posts 10.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 35.1% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game.

Heat Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over their past 10 games.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 230.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.0 less than this game's over/under of 239.5.
• The Mavericks have seven wins against the spread in 18 games this year.
• This year, Dallas has an against-the-spread record of 3-2 in its five games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over on six of 18 set point totals (33.3%).
• The Mavericks put up an average of 109.9 points per game, 9.0 fewer points than the 118.9 the Heat give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 118.9 points, Dallas is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
• The Mavericks' 44.4% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.1 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (43.3%).
• This season, the Mavericks are 5-8-0 at home against the spread (.385 winning percentage). Away, they are 2-3-0 ATS (.400).
• Dallas' games have finished above the over/under more often at home (five times out of 13) than on the road (one of five) this season.
• When moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (1-0).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gets the Mavericks 16.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, P.J. Washington gives the Mavericks 15.0 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.2 blocked shots.
• Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 11.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while delivering 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Mavericks are getting 12.7 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Max Christie this season.
• The Mavericks are receiving 12.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game from D'Angelo Russell this season.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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