Grizzlies vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 24

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) play the Miami Heat (0-1) on October 24, 2025. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN. Friday's matchup between the Grizzlies and the Heat features the Grizzlies as 3-point favorites. The over/under is 231.5 points for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Grizzlies-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Grizzlies vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, October 24, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Grizzlies vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (- 3)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Grizzlies 128 - Heat 120

Grizzlies vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Grizzlies and their opponents went over 231.5 combined points in 52 of 82 games last season.
• The Heat played 25 games last season that finished with a combined score over 231.5 points.
• The teams combined to score 232.3 points per game last season, 0.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
• Combined, these teams gave up 226.9 points per contest last year, 4.6 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
• The Grizzlies had an average total of 236.2 in their outings last season, 4.7 more points than the over/under for this game.
• Heat matchups last year had a 218.8-point average over/under, 12.7 fewer points than this game's point total.

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• Memphis compiled a 41-38-3 ATS record last year.
• Memphis was favored by 3 points or more 42 times last season, and covered the spread in 24 of those matchups.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 47 times in Memphis' games.
• Last year, the Grizzlies recorded 121.7 points per game, 11.7 more points than the 110.0 the Heat gave up.
• When Memphis put up more than 110.0 points last season, it went 38-21-3 against the spread and 42-20 overall.
• The Grizzlies made 47.9% of their shots from the field last season, which was 1.3 percentage points higher than the Heat allowed to their opponents (46.6%).
• At home last season, the Grizzlies had a worse record against the spread (19-21-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (22-17-2).
• Memphis exceeded the over/under less consistently at home last season, hitting the over in 22 of 41 home matchups (53.7%). In away games, it hit the over in 25 of 41 games (61%).
• The Grizzlies won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home last season, going 23-9 (.719). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they owned a record of 15-4 (.789).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. averaged 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists last year. He also drained 48.8% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from 3-point range, with 2.0 triples per game.
• Ja Morant put up 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game last season. He also put up 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Scotty Pippen Jr.'s numbers last season were 9.9 points, 3.3 boards and 4.4 assists per game. He drained 48.0% of his shots from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.1 treys.
• Santi Aldama posted 12.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest, plus 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Last season, Zach Edey recorded 9.2 points, 8.3 rebounds and 1.0 assists. He sank 58.0% of his shots from the floor.

Grizzlies Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat covered 38 times in 82 games with a spread last season.
• Against the spread, as an underdog of 3 points or greater, Miami went 14-15-1 last season.
• The Heat and their opponents combined to hit the over 44 out of 82 times last season.
• The Heat's 110.6 points per game last year were 6.3 fewer points than the 116.9 the Grizzlies gave up to opponents.
• When it scored more than 116.9 points last season, Miami went 20-7 against the spread and 21-6 overall.
• The Heat shot at a 46.5% rate from the field last season, 0.9 percentage points higher than the 45.6% shooting opponents of the Grizzlies averaged.
• Last year, the Heat were 21-19-1 at home against the spread (.512 winning percentage). On the road, they were 17-22-2 ATS (.415).
• In terms of the over/under, Miami's games went over 25 of 41 times at home (61%) last year, and 19 of 41 on the road (46.3%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Heat won a higher percentage of games at home (15-11) than on the road (12-9) last season.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Tyler Herro put up 23.9 points per game last season to go with 5.5 assists.
• Bam Adebayo averaged 9.6 boards per game in addition to his 18.1 PPG average.
• Herro knocked down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.3 per contest a season ago.
• Adebayo averaged 1.3 steals per game, while Kel'el Ware notched 1.1 blocks per contest.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Memphis Grizzlies

Miami Heat