Celtics vs. Heat Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 1

Updated May. 1, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Boston Celtics will meet the Miami Heat in a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Wednesday's game between the Celtics and the Heat sees the Celtics as a double-digit favorite by 14.5 points. A 200.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (- 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (200.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 - Heat 104

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this season, the Celtics have had 80 with more than 200.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• The Heat have played in 70 games this year (85.4% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 200.5 points.
• The Celtics and Heat average 30.2 more points between them than the total of 200.5 for this game.
• The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 17.1 more points per game than the point total of 200.5 set in this outing.
• Boston has come away with 62 wins in the 78 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Boston has come out on top in six of its last seven head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (4-3) when playing the Heat.

FINAL

MIA 84 · BOS 118

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Heat

MIA

+13.5

+643

o202

Boston Celtics

BOS

-13.5

-1000

u202

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Boston's average total over the last 10 games is 15.9 points more than the 200.5 total given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Celtics are 42-36-4 this year.
• So far this season, Boston has been installed as favorites by a 14.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 7-5 ATS in those games.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the total in 43 out of 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• The Celtics record 120.6 points per game, 12.2 more points than the 108.4 the Heat give up.
• When Boston scores more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.
• The Celtics make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is two percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (46.7%).
• The Celtics have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 23 times in 41 opportunities at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 opportunities in away games.
• Boston has hit the over on the over/under in 22 of 41 home games (53.7%), compared to 21 of 41 road games (51.2%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Celtics have won a higher percentage of their home games (.902) compared to away games (.676).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum puts up 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.6 blocks.
• Jaylen Brown posts 23 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Derrick White posts 15.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made treys per game.
• Jrue Holiday posts 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Payton Pritchard posts 9.6 points, 3.2 boards and 3.4 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Miami has averaged a total of 214.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 13.7 greater than this game's over/under of 200.5.
• The Heat have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Heat games this season have gone over the point total 42.7% of the time (35 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Heat score an average of 110.1 points per game, only 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 109.2 points, Miami is 28-12-1 against the spread and 33-8 overall.
• The Heat's 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Celtics have given up to their opponents (45.3%).
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .390 (16-25-0). Away, it is .610 (25-14-2).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami's games have gone over more often at home (21 of 41, 51.2%) than away (14 of 41, 34.1%).
• The Heat, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (22-9) than away (13-3) this year.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo generates 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game for the Heat.
• The Heat are getting 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Duncan Robinson this season.
• Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game while posting 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Caleb Martin gets the Heat 10 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while posting 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 8.8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Kevin Love this year.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics - 05/01/2024