
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27
Cam Schlittler is set to start for the New York Yankees on Saturday against Coby Mayo and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The favored Yankees have -234 moneyline odds against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +192. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this contest (with -104 odds to go over and -116 odds to go under).
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Rays vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX
Yankees vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to watch on TV: YES and MASN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -234 | +192 | 9 | -104 | -116 | -1.5 | -113 | -107 |
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Yankees 58%, Orioles 42%
Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 82 out of the 137 games, or 59.9%, in which they've been favored.
- New York has a record of 12-6, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -234 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- The Orioles have won in 42, or 45.7%, of the 92 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has come away with a win two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +192 or longer on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 34.2% chance of pulling out a win.
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
- The Yankees have a 9-1 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
- The Yankees have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Yankees Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.70 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Yankees Player Insights
- Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 52 home runs and 111 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .330.
- In all of MLB, Judge ranks fourth in home runs and fifth in RBI.
- Judge brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, three home runs, eight walks and six RBIs.
- Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .272.
- Bellinger is 33rd in homers in MLB, and 17th in RBI.
- Bellinger carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .278 with six walks.
- Trent Grisham is batting .238 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 80 walks.
- Grisham will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with a home run, six walks and two RBIs.
- Jazz Chisholm is hitting .244 with 15 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
Yankees Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 (-202) | 1.5 (+122) | - | 0.5 (+169) |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 (-212) | 1.5 (+141) | - | 0.5 (+194) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 (-219) | 1.5 (-104) | - | 0.5 (+111) |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Ben Rice | 0.5 (-242) | 1.5 (+111) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
Orioles Recent Betting Performance
- The Orioles have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
- The Orioles have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Orioles Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Orioles Player Insights
- The Orioles are led in runs batted in by Gunnar Henderson with a mark of 67, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
- In all of MLB, Henderson ranks 123rd in homers and 95th in RBI.
- Jackson Holliday's 17 home runs lead his team.
- Holliday is 111th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 141st in RBI.
- Jordan Westburg has 10 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 17 walks while batting .266.
- Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 39 walks while batting .223.
Orioles Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano | - | - | - | - |
| Jeremiah Jackson | - | - | - | - |
| Adley Rutschman | - | - | - | - |
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.5 (-154) | - | - | 0.5 (+178) |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.5 (-132) | - | - | 0.5 (+234) |
Rays vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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