Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 17

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 17

Updated Apr. 17, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kyle Isbel and the Kansas City Royals hit the field on Thursday at Comerica Park against Reese Olson, who gets the start for the Detroit Tigers. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET for the first game of a four-game series. The Tigers are favored in this one, at -154, while the underdog Royals have +129 odds to win. Detroit is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +143 odds). A 7.5-run total is listed for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, April 17, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, FDSDETX, and FDSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -154 +129 7.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +143 -172

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 58%, Royals 42%

Tigers vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been favorites in seven games this season and won five (71.4%) of those contests.
  • Detroit has been at least -154 moneyline favorites five times this season and won each of those games.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
  • The Royals have come away with two wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has been listed as an underdog of +129 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Tigers have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4
HR 9
ERA 2.69
K/9 7.9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Not only does Spencer Torkelson lead the Tigers in hitting with his .273 average, he also paces the squad with six home runs and 13 RBI.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Torkelson's home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him 21st.
  • Kerry Carpenter is batting .268 with two doubles, five home runs and a walk.
  • Carpenter ranks 15th in homers and 53rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Zach McKinstry has two triples, a home run and 10 walks while hitting .269.
  • Dillon Dingler has two doubles, a triple and two home runs while batting .311.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+180)
Gleyber Torres 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+200)
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+205)
Trey Sweeney 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+220)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+145)

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs six times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Royals are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.2
HR 5
ERA 3.39
K/9 9.1

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a team-best batting average of .310, and leads the Royals in long balls with two.
  • Witt ranks 97th in homers and 94th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Witt has collected a hit in nine games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .353 with four doubles, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
  • Maikel Garcia has put his power on display as he paces his team with two home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Garcia is 97th in homers and 78th in RBI.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with two long balls and 11 runs batted in.
  • Jonathan India is hitting .183 with three doubles and 10 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+145)
Salvador Perez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+155)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+200)
Maikel Garcia 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+240)
Jonathan India 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+235)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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