Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds will try to get to Braxton Ashcraft when he takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Pirates are listed as -109 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Reds (-110). Cincinnati is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this matchup (with -114 odds to go over and -106 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and FDSOH

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Pirates 48%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Reds have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 26, or 51%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has a record of 27-25 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 52.4% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 34, or 42.5%, of the 80 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 33 times in 79 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and finished 1-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Reds' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz's 19 home runs and 73 RBI both lead the Reds, in addition to his team-high .278 average.
• In all of the majors, De La Cruz is 42nd in homers and 16th in RBI.
• De La Cruz has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double and an RBI.
• TJ Friedl has 17 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 54 walks while batting .275.
• Among all MLB hitters, Friedl is 150th in homers and 174th in RBI.
• Spencer Steer is batting .234 with 15 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• Matt McLain is hitting .226 with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
• McLain is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a walk and an RBI.

Reds Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high 18 long balls.
• Cruz's home run total places him 48th in the big leagues, and he is 87th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 56 runs batted in.
• Reynolds is currently 133rd in home runs and 64th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .249 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa leads the team in batting average with a mark of .268.

Pirates Team Props

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A.J. Pierzynski joins Colin Cowherd for an All-Star Game debrief. He dives into the robot umpire system's impact on catcher framing and his take on its future. Pierzynski also unpacks the pitch clock's surprising success, defends Ben Mezley's controversial All-Star nod, and weighs in on Cal Raleigh's historic homer chase. Plus, hear his candid thoughts on the Yankees' trade deadline needs and the Dodgers' recent struggles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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