Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 2

Alex Bregman and the Boston Red Sox hit the field on Saturday at Fenway Park against Colton Gordon, who is starting for the Houston Astros. First pitch will be at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -135, while the underdog Astros have +114 odds to win. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 2, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and SCHN

Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Astros 46%

Red Sox vs. Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 66 times and won 39, or 59.1%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 17-13 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (60.6%) in those games.
• This year, Houston has won 12 of 17 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and went 2-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .265.
• In all of the majors, Duran is 124th in homers and 42nd in RBI.
• Duran has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .325 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs, six walks and 10 RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .259 with 21 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 17 walks.
• Rafaela is 87th in homers and 79th in RBI on the year.
• Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with 65 runs batted in.
• Story has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu's 20 home runs lead his team.

Red Sox Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Astros and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Astros have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve has a team-leading 57 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Altuve is 43rd in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
• Jeremy Pena is batting .326 to lead the lineup.
• Among all MLB hitters, Pena ranks 124th in home runs and 146th in RBI.
• Yainer Diaz has 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .252.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .259 with 12 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 29 walks.

Astros Team Props

Astros vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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