Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2025 4:01 p.m. ET

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Kyle Stowers and the Miami Marlins take the field on Saturday at loanDepot park against Drew Rasmussen, who is projected to start for the Tampa Bay Rays. First pitch will be at 4:10 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Rays as -142 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +120 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under is listed at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins.

Rays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and FDSSUN

Rays vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 50%, Marlins 50%

Rays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 23 games this season and won 10 (43.5%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 5-5, a 50% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 58.7% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (35.1%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 9-18 when favored by +120 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

TB 4 · MIA 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-146

O 8

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+123

U 8

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have a 1-2 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Rays are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz is hitting .238 with eight doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
• In all of the majors, Diaz is 70th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda has a club-leading .315 batting average.
• Aranda is 70th in home runs and 90th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Junior Caminero leads the Rays with eight home runs.
• Brandon Lowe has been productive as he paces his team with 24 RBI.

Rays Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-4.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Stowers paces the Marlins in home runs (10), runs batted in (30) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .299.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Stowers is 16th in homers and 18th in RBI.
• Stowers carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a triple, three home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
• Xavier Edwards has three doubles, a triple and 19 walks while hitting .263.
• Edwards is 337th in home runs and 218th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Eric Wagaman has nine doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks while hitting .239.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .263 with 10 doubles, five home runs and seven walks.

Marlins Team Props

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Check out the best highlights between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins - 05/17/2025

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