
Rangers vs. Astros ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 20
Updated Oct. 20, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The ALCS rolls on Friday at 5:07 PM ET when the Texas Rangers host the Houston Astros live on Fox Sports 1 from Globe Life Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 2-2 tie in the series. The favored Rangers have -111 moneyline odds against the underdog Astros, who are listed at -108. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +152 odds). The total for the contest is listed at 9 runs.
The probable pitchers are Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20 ERA) for the Rangers against Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22 ERA) for the Astros.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Rangers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, October 20, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
- Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
- How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -111 | -108 | 9 | -107 | -114 | -1.5 | -186 | +152 |
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction
- Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Rangers 53%, Astros 47%
Rangers vs. Astros Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won 67, or 58.8%, of the 114 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Texas has won 66 of its 113 games, or 58.4%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (67.4%) in those games.
- Houston has a mark of 28-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
Rangers Recent Betting Performance
- Over the last 10 games, the Rangers were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice, and they split those games.
- In their last 10 outings, the Rangers and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Rangers' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.
Rangers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Rangers Player Insights
- Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
- In all of MLB, Semien ranks 30th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
- Corey Seager is hitting .327 to pace his team.
- Seager is 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Adolis Garcia has a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
- Garcia will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two home runs and six RBI.
- Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.
- Lowe is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
Rangers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+330) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 (-204) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Adolis García | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (-110) | 0.5 (+210) | 0.5 (-105) |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (-135) | 0.5 (+205) | 0.5 (+110) |
| Marcus Semien | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+350) | 0.5 (+185) |
Learn more about this Rangers vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
- The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- The Astros have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.
Astros Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.80 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Astros Player Insights
- The Astros are led in runs batted in by Kyle Tucker with a mark of 112, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .284.
- In all of the big leagues, Tucker ranks 30th in homers and third in RBI.
- Alex Bregman is hitting .262 with 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks.
- Bregman is 46th overall in homers and 19th in RBI this season.
- Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
- Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
Astros Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+180) |
| José Abreu | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+370) | 0.5 (+155) |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+220) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+340) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+190) |
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