Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 20

Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 20

Updated Apr. 20, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will meet Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at PNC Park, at 4:05 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Pirates as -119 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +100 moneyline odds to win. Pittsburgh (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run total is set in the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Boston Red Sox took on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pirates vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -119 +100 7.5 -118 -101 -1.5 +176 -218

Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 52%, Red Sox 48%

Pirates vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have entered the game as favorites five times this season and won twice.
  • Pittsburgh has entered four games this season favored by -119 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
  • The Pirates have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 10 games this season and have come away with the win four times (40%) in those contests.
  • This season, Boston has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
BOS 4 · PIT 2
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have a 1-2 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Pirates' record against the spread is 3-6-0 over their past 10 games (bookmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 7
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.5

Pirates Player Insights

  • The Pirates RBI leader this season is Reynolds, who has knocked in 13 runs while hitting .253 with two home runs.
  • Reynolds' home runs place him 99th in MLB, and he is 32nd in RBI.
  • Connor Joe has a club-best .276 batting average.
  • Joe ranks 158th in home runs and 57th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .261 with five doubles and 12 walks.
  • Jack Suwinski is batting .180 with two doubles, two home runs and eight walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Edward Olivares 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+230)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+300)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 14
ERA 3.58
K/9 8.3

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .284.
  • Duran ranks 158th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Triston Casas has collected 10 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Casas ranks fourth overall in homers and 75th in RBI this season.
  • Masataka Yoshida has two doubles, a home run and six walks while batting .221.
  • Rafael Devers is batting .188 with three doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+215)
Jarren Duran 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Enmanuel Valdez 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+235)
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+285)
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+280)

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Boston Red Sox took on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.


Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.