Pirates vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates will look to get to Luis Castillo when he starts for the Seattle Mariners on Saturday at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Pirates are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Mariners have -105 odds to win. Pittsburgh is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). The over/under is 6.5 runs for this contest (with -121 odds on the over and +101 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners.

Pirates vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, ROOT Sports NW, and SportsNet PT

Pirates vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Mariners 46%

Pirates vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have won 12 out of the 25 games, or 48%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Pittsburgh has won 12 of its 23 games, or 52.2%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
• The Mariners have won in 14, or 46.7%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Seattle has come away with a win 13 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Pirates have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times, and they won both games.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Pirates' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Cruz's 15 homers in 2025 are the most on the Pirates. He's also knocked in 35 runs while hitting .208.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Cruz is 38th in homers and 112th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds' 45 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
• Among all MLB hitters, Reynolds ranks 100th in homers and 58th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen paces the Pirates with a .265 batting average.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .275 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mariners have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has managed a team-leading 35 home runs and has driven in 74 runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Raleigh's home run total ranks first and his RBI tally is second.
• Julio Rodriguez has 12 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 23 walks while batting .249.
• Rodriguez is currently 80th in home runs and 69th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 41 walks.
• J.P. Crawford leads the Mariners with a .284 batting average.

Mariners Team Props

Pirates vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Seattle Mariners.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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