Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Jared Triolo and the Pittsburgh Pirates will attempt to knock off Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies when the teams meet on Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -322 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+259). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at -161 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and SportsNet PT

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Pirates 41%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 22 out of the 36 games, or 61.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 2-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -322 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 76.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Pirates have won in 10, or 33.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +259 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 27.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 7-3 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
• The Phillies have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber paces the Phillies with 15 home runs and 34 runs batted in.
• Schwarber's home runs rank him second in MLB, and he is sixth in RBI.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Bryce Harper has nine doubles, seven home runs and 32 walks while batting .248.
• Harper ranks 52nd in homers and 40th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a .302 batting average.
• Turner will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with a triple, a walk and an RBI.
• Bryson Stott has five doubles, two triples, three home runs and 15 walks while batting .258.
• Stott brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with two walks and an RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with eight home runs.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Cruz's home run total ranks 35th and his RBI tally is 108th.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .254 with seven doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.
• McCutchen is 168th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 165th in RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has three doubles, two triples, a home run and nine walks while batting .253.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .276 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and eight walks.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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