Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will take the field at Citi Field against the Texas Rangers and Wyatt Langford on Friday. The Mets have been listed as -119 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Rangers (-101). Texas is a 1.5-run favorite (at +160 odds). A 7.5-run total has been set for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Starling Marte's two-run double gives Mets 4-0 lead over Phillies

Starling Marte's two-run double gave the New York Mets a 4-0 lead over the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and RSN

Mets vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 7, Rangers 6
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Rangers 49%

Mets vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 58, or 56.9%, of the 102 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 51-43 this season when entering a game favored by -119 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.3% chance to win.
• The Rangers have been victorious in 28, or 38.9%, of the 72 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Texas has won 22 of 58 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-3 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has collected a team-high 39 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total ranks him seventh, and his RBI tally ranks him 11th.
• Soto carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has 32 doubles, 26 home runs and 54 walks while batting .263.
• Lindor is 34th in home runs and 42nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high batting average of .267 while leading the Mets in runs batted in (113).
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .261 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks.

Mets Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rangers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Wyatt Langford paces the Rangers with 21 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Langford's home run total is 60th and his RBI tally ranks 104th.
• Josh Smith's .254 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Smith ranks 210th overall in homers and 239th in RBI this season.
• Josh Jung is hitting .251 with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
• Jake Burger has 15 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 12 walks while batting .246.

Rangers Team Props

Starling Marte's two-run double gives Mets 4-0 lead over Phillies

Starling Marte's two-run double gave the New York Mets a 4-0 lead over the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Texas Rangers