Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 17

Updated Apr. 17, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Connor Joe square off against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Wednesday, in the final game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The favored Mets have -141 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +125. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, April 17, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Pirates 46%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they've been favored.
• This season New York has won one of its three games when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 58.5% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been victorious in eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 2-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 1 · NYM 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-120

o8

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-110

u8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-1 over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 7-2-0 over their past 10 games (bookmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso's six big flies in 2024 are the most on the Mets. He's also driven in 10 runs while hitting .269.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Alonso is fourth in homers and 57th in RBI.
• Nimmo has been productive as he paces his team with 13 runs batted in.
• Nimmo ranks 81st in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Starling Marte has two doubles, two home runs and six walks while batting .271.
• Jeff McNeil has two doubles, a home run and seven walks while batting .212.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Pirates had a record of 4-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Pirates have a record of 5-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has put up a team-leading 12 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 81st and his RBI tally is 31st.
• Joe has a club-best .291 batting average.
• Joe is currently 144th in homers and 45th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has five doubles and 12 walks while hitting .277.
• Jack Suwinski is batting .185 with a double, two home runs and eight walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets - 04/17/2024