Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Lourdes Gurriel and the Arizona Diamondbacks take the field on Wednesday at Chase Field against Kodai Senga, who gets the start for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 3:40 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The favored Mets have -117 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at -103. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 3:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to watch on TV: ARID and SNY

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 18-8, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win six times (50%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 over the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso is the bat to watch in the Mets lineup, leading the team in batting average (.341), home runs (9), and RBI (34).
• Alonso ranks ninth in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Juan Soto has nine doubles, five home runs and 29 walks while hitting .254.
• Soto is 61st in home runs and 115th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .283 with five doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .211 with five doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Mets Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo has driven in the most runs for the Diamondbacks with 30 runs batted in.
• In all of MLB, Perdomo ranks 61st in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Corbin Carroll has a team-high 10 home runs.
• Carroll ranks fourth in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Josh Naylor has put up a team-best batting average of .308.
• Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team-high 10 long balls.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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