
Guardians vs. Tigers AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1
The AL Wild Card Series continues on Wednesday when the Cleveland Guardians play host to the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers will look to clinch a berth in the ALDS when the game begins at 1:08 p.m. ET on ESPN Networks. The Guardians are listed as -136 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Tigers (+115). Cleveland (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 6.5 runs for this matchup.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 1, 2025 at 1:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: ESPN Networks
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -136 | +115 | 6.5 | -125 | +105 | -1.5 | +168 | -205 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 53%, Tigers 47%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 45, or 62.5%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 23-9, a 71.9% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Tigers have won in 24, or 48%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
- The Guardians' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.80 |
| K/9 | 11.0 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez is the bat to watch in the Guardians lineup, leading the team in batting average (.283), home runs (30), and RBI (85).
- Among all batters in baseball, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 30th, and his RBI tally ranks him 42nd.
- Ramirez has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
- Steven Kwan has 29 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .272.
- Of all major league hitters, Kwan ranks 192nd in homers and 142nd in RBI.
- Kyle Manzardo has 19 doubles, two triples, 27 home runs and 48 walks while batting .234.
- Manzardo is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, a home run and two RBIs.
- Angel Martinez is batting .224 with 23 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 23 walks.
- Martinez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .188 with a walk.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+149) | - | 0.5 (+289) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+104) | - | 0.5 (+142) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-191) | - | - | 0.5 (+173) |
| George Valera | 0.5 (-157) | - | - | 0.5 (+253) |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 (-138) | - | - | 0.5 (+290) |
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have a record of 1-9-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.18 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Gleyber Torres has 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks while hitting .256.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Torres ranks 127th in homers and 73rd in RBI.
- Riley Greene been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 36 home runs and 111 runs batted in.
- Among all major league hitters, Greene is 10th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
- Spencer Torkelson has 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 72 walks while batting .240.
- Zach McKinstry leads the Tigers with a .259 batting average.
Tigers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 (-116) | - | - | 0.5 (+305) |
| Wenceel Perez | 0.5 (-142) | - | - | 0.5 (+290) |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 (-146) | - | - | 0.5 (+218) |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 (-171) | - | - | 0.5 (+209) |
| Parker Meadows | 0.5 (-129) | - | - | 0.5 (+313) |
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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