Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 2:05 p.m. ET

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Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take on Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals on Monday at 2:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -128 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +108 moneyline odds. Cleveland (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the contest.

The scheduled starters are Cal Quantrill (3-6) for the Cleveland Guardians, and Brady Singer (8-11) for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 6, Royals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Royals 49%

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 37, or 52.9%, of those games.
• Cleveland is 25-26 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Royals have come away with 40 wins in the 127 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a mark of 38-81 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 2-3 over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Ramirez leads the Guardians with 24 home runs while putting up a team-high batting average of .277.
• In all of MLB, Ramirez is 45th in home runs and 47th in RBI.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .364 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .274 with 33 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 63 walks.
• Kwan is 304th in home runs and 145th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Kwan heads into this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, four walks and two RBI.
• Josh Naylor has racked up a team-best 91 runs batted in.
• Naylor has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with a double, a walk and four RBI.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .242 with 26 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 3-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Royals have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 29 home runs and 90 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .278.
• Among all batters in the majors, Witt Jr.'s home run total is 21st and his RBI tally ranks 26th.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, 21 home runs and 18 walks.
• Perez is currently 68th in home runs and 66th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .273 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 35 walks.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .232 with 28 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 54 walks.

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