Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Will Smith and the Los Angeles Dodgers will take on Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium in the first of a three-game series, on Friday at 9:10 p.m. ET. The Astros are +123 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Dodgers (-147). Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 9:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet LA and SCHN

Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Astros 46%

Dodgers vs. Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 75 times and won 50, or 66.7%, of those games.
• This season Los Angeles has won 41 of its 62 games, or 66.1%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (56%) in those games.
• This year, Houston has won three of four games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 9-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Dodgers have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani has hit a team-best 30 home runs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Ohtani ranks 33rd in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Mookie Betts is hitting .246 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 35 walks.
• Betts is 97th in homers and 64th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Andy Pages has collected a team-high 58 runs batted in.
• Smith is batting .324 to lead his team.
• Smith brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two home runs, four walks and two RBIs.

Dodgers Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Astros have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
• The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Astros have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes paces the Astros in home runs (17) and runs batted in (47).
• Paredes ranks 22nd in homers and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Altuve has 11 doubles, 13 home runs and 29 walks while batting .262.
• Altuve is 47th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 83rd in RBI.
• Jake Meyers has 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 26 walks while batting .304.
• Cam Smith is hitting .291 with 14 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Astros Team Props

Freddie Freeman drives in Ohtani & Betts with second double to extend Dodgers' lead vs. White Sox

Freddie Freeman drove in Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts with his second double of the game that extended the Los Angeles Dodgers' lead against the Chicago White Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Los Angeles Dodgers

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