Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros hit the field on Friday at Chase Field against Zac Gallen, who is starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch will be at 9:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Diamondbacks are favored in this one, at -123, while the underdog Astros have +103 odds to play spoiler. Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +162 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game.

The Diamondbacks will give the ball to Gallen (17-8) versus the Astros and Jose Urquidy (2-3).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Astros 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won 43, or 59.7%, of the 72 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Arizona has a record of 38-20 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• The Astros have won in 27, or 64.3%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Houston has come away with a win 16 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Diamondbacks have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .289.
• Among all batters in the majors, Carroll's home run total places him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 68th.
• Carroll has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .364 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and three RBI.
• Christian Walker has hit 33 home runs with 103 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Walker is 16th in home runs and 11th in RBI on the year.
• Ketel Marte is batting .278 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 70 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.
• Gurriel is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with .

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 2-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Astros have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Tucker has put up a team-high batting average of .282 while leading the Astros in runs batted in with a mark of 111.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Tucker is 28th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Tucker has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .313 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .259 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 92 walks.
• Bregman ranks 51st in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jose Altuve is batting .316 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 09/30/2023