Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

Gavin Williams will start for the Cleveland Guardians against the Chicago Cubs and Kyle Tucker on Tuesday at 8:05 p.m. ET. The Cubs are -207 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Guardians (+171). Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to watch on TV: TBS, MARQ, and CLEG

Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Guardians 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 59%, Guardians 41%

Cubs vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Cubs have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 39 (68.4%) of those contests.
• Chicago has a record of 10-1, a 90.9% win rate, when favored by -207 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 67.4% chance to win.
• The Guardians have won in 21, or 42.9%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Cleveland has been listed as an underdog of +171 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 36.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Cubs combined with their opponents to go over the total seven times.
• The Cubs have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Tucker is batting .291 with 18 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 53 walks.
• Tucker is 19th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Tucker takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and four RBIs.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is hitting .262 with 20 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 15 walks.
• Of all major league batters, Crow-Armstrong is eighth in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Seiya Suzuki paces the Cubs in home runs (22) and runs batted in (69).
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .293 to lead his team.
• Hoerner takes an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with three home runs, two walks and five RBIs.

Cubs Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the squad with a batting average of .309, and leads the Guardians in home runs, with 13 and runs batted in with 38.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Ramirez ranks 43rd in home runs and 83rd in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .295 with 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 28 walks.
• Kwan ranks 179th in homers and 186th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .232 with six doubles, nine home runs and 37 walks.
• Kyle Manzardo has hit a team-best 13 home runs.

Guardians Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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