Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

The Miami Marlins and Otto Lopez hit the field in the first game of a three-game series against Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at loanDepot park. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -135 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +113 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +131 odds). The total is 8 runs for the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Brewers vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets.

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and FDSWI

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Marlins 49%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 43 times and won 28, or 65.1%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 17-5, a 77.3% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Brewers have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 34, or 45.3%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 27-34 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers were favored on the moneyline for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Brewers have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Jackson Chourio has 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .253.
• Among all MLB hitters, Chourio ranks 92nd in batting average, 144th in on-base percentage, and 65th in slugging.
• Chourio has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Yelich's 17 home runs and 61 runs batted in both pace his team.
• Yelich ranks 22nd in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Yelich has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with two home runs, two walks and two RBIs.
• Sal Frelick has racked up a team-high batting average of .296.
• Brice Turang is hitting .287 with 14 doubles, five home runs and 37 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won nine of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• In their last 10 games with a spread, the Marlins covered each time.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Lopez is batting .253 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 26 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .324.
• Lopez's home run total puts him 137th in MLB, and he ranks 72nd in RBI.
• Kyle Stowers has hit 15 home runs with 45 RBI while hitting .283. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Stowers is 36th in homers and 54th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .248 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 17 walks.
• Xavier Edwards paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .283.

Marlins Team Props

Twins vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Minnesota Twins and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Miami Marlins

Milwaukee Brewers