
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3
Grant Holmes gets the nod for the Atlanta Braves on Saturday at Truist Park against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET in this third game of a four-game series. The Marlins are +202 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Braves (-250). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9 runs for this contest (with -110 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Marlins vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -250 | +202 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | -124 | +104 |
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 7, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 56%, Marlins 44%
Braves vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 52 out of the 90 games, or 57.8%, in which they've been favored.
- Atlanta has a record of 9-2, a 81.8% win rate, when favored by -250 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 71.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Marlins have won in 36, or 38.3%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Miami has a mark of 3-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +202 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 33.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have a 3-2 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Braves have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 3.37 |
| K/9 | 11.5 |
Braves Player Insights
- Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves in home runs (31), runs batted in (85) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .300.
- Ozuna is fourth in homers and third in RBI among all batters in baseball.
- Austin Riley has 23 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .258.
- Riley ranks 69th in homers and 83rd in RBI in the bigs.
- Riley carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a double, a home run and five RBI.
- Jorge Soler is hitting .236 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 46 walks.
- Matt Olson is batting .225 with 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 42 walks.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+165) |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+155) |
| Travis d'Arnaud | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+165) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-125) | 0.5 (+235) | 0.5 (+105) |
| Austin Riley | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-115) | 0.5 (+350) | 0.5 (+130) |
Learn more about this Braves vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 5-5 in those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
- The Marlins are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Burger leads the Marlins with 16 home runs and 44 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .240.
- Burger's home run total places him 52nd in MLB, and he is 102nd in RBI.
- Burger brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
- Jesus Sanchez has 15 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 19 walks while batting .239.
- Sanchez ranks 101st in home runs and 132nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Nick Gordon is batting .225 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 11 walks.
- Vidal Brujan is batting .227 with 13 doubles, two triples, a home run and 21 walks.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+270) |
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+220) |
| Jesús Sánchez | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+350) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 (-165) | 0.5 (-165) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+235) |
Marlins vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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