Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros will play Ceddanne Rafaela and the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at Fenway Park, at 11:35 a.m. ET. The favored Astros have -131 moneyline odds against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +111. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 3, 2025 at 11:35 a.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: Roku

Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Red Sox 46%

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 42 (54.5%) of those contests.
• Houston is 26-20 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
• The Red Sox have won in 19, or 46.3%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Boston has been victorious nine times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros went 2-6 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Astros have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve has 17 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 39 walks while batting .280.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Altuve ranks 44th in homers and 56th in RBI.
• Pena is hitting .326 to pace his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, Pena ranks 124th in homers and 147th in RBI.
• Yainer Diaz has 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .254.
• Diaz is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Christian Walker has been productive as he leads his team with 58 runs batted in.
• Walker has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBIs.

Astros Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Red Sox have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .262.
• Duran is 124th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rafaela is batting .261 with 23 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 17 walks.
• Rafaela ranks 89th overall in homers and 81st in RBI this year.
• Trevor Story has collected a team-best 68 runs batted in.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 20 long balls.

Red Sox Team Props

Astros vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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